Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European ensembles converge on a 29–31°C maximum for Ankara on August 18 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northerly flow that favors strong daytime heating without significant moisture or cloud interference. This places the market-implied 44.5% probability on 30°C and 35% on 29°C as the core consensus, with 31°C at 12.5% reflecting slight upside risk from model spread in boundary-layer temperatures. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 31°C, but current short-range guidance indicates modest cooling relative to peak summer values due to a subtle trough influence. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will tighten resolution criteria around observed daily maxima.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Ankara on August 18?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 18?
30°C 44%
29°C 35%
31°C 13%
28°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 18, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
8%
29°C
35%
30°C
44%
31°C
13%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 44%
29°C 35%
31°C 13%
28°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 18, 2026
25°C or below
$18 KL.
<1%
26°C
$28 KL.
<1%
27°C
$49 KL.
3%
28°C
$50 KL.
8%
29°C
$356 KL.
35%
30°C
$122 KL.
44%
31°C
$25 KL.
13%
32°C
$18 KL.
4%
33°C
$115 KL.
1%
34°C
$32 KL.
1%
35°C or higher
$28 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European ensembles converge on a 29–31°C maximum for Ankara on August 18 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northerly flow that favors strong daytime heating without significant moisture or cloud interference. This places the market-implied 44.5% probability on 30°C and 35% on 29°C as the core consensus, with 31°C at 12.5% reflecting slight upside risk from model spread in boundary-layer temperatures. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 31°C, but current short-range guidance indicates modest cooling relative to peak summer values due to a subtle trough influence. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will tighten resolution criteria around observed daily maxima.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$842Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European ensembles converge on a 29–31°C maximum for Ankara on August 18 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northerly flow that favors strong daytime heating without significant moisture or cloud interference. This places the market-implied 44.5% probability on 30°C and 35% on 29°C as the core consensus, with 31°C at 12.5% reflecting slight upside risk from model spread in boundary-layer temperatures. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 31°C, but current short-range guidance indicates modest cooling relative to peak summer values due to a subtle trough influence. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will tighten resolution criteria around observed daily maxima.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$842Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European ensembles converge on a 29–31°C maximum for Ankara on August 18 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northerly flow that favors strong daytime heating without significant moisture or cloud interference. This places the market-implied 44.5% probability on 30°C and 35% on 29°C as the core consensus, with 31°C at 12.5% reflecting slight upside risk from model spread in boundary-layer temperatures. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 31°C, but current short-range guidance indicates modest cooling relative to peak summer values due to a subtle trough influence. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will tighten resolution criteria around observed daily maxima.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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