Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international services point to peak temperatures in Chongqing on August 17 likely reaching 37–38°C, with trader-implied odds reflecting uncertainty over convective activity. Subtropical high humidity and the city's basin topography amplify daytime heating through reduced ventilation and urban heat retention, while scattered thundery showers could limit insolation and cap the maximum. Recent patterns show August highs typically 35–40°C, modulated by monsoon influences and short-term cloud cover that differentiate outcomes near the 36–39°C thresholds. Updated model runs and local observations will refine this ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 17?
37°C 37%
38°C 33%
36°C 14%
39°C 11%
33°C or below
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
5%
36°C
14%
37°C
37%
38°C
33%
39°C
11%
40°C
2%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
37°C 37%
38°C 33%
36°C 14%
39°C 11%
33°C or below
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
5%
36°C
14%
37°C
37%
38°C
33%
39°C
11%
40°C
2%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international services point to peak temperatures in Chongqing on August 17 likely reaching 37–38°C, with trader-implied odds reflecting uncertainty over convective activity. Subtropical high humidity and the city's basin topography amplify daytime heating through reduced ventilation and urban heat retention, while scattered thundery showers could limit insolation and cap the maximum. Recent patterns show August highs typically 35–40°C, modulated by monsoon influences and short-term cloud cover that differentiate outcomes near the 36–39°C thresholds. Updated model runs and local observations will refine this ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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