**National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 16, 2026, call for sunny skies and a high near 103°F under a persistent heat dome, directly supporting the market's strong preference for the 102-103°F bin at 68.5% implied probability.** Official guidance from the NWS Fort Worth/Dallas office highlights a south-southwest wind and heat index values potentially reaching 106-107°F, consistent with the broader summer pattern of above-normal temperatures across North Texas. Recent model consensus has held steady in the low 100s range, with limited spread across ensembles, which explains why 100-101°F sits at 18.5% and 104-105°F at just 7.5%. A prolonged period of high pressure and minimal cloud cover has sustained triple-digit heat through mid-August, pushing daily maxima 2-4°F above seasonal averages. With resolution tied to the official high at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport, traders have aligned closely with the latest NWS point forecast and the absence of any cooling fronts or convective activity expected to alter the outcome today.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Dallas on August 16?
102-103°F 68%
100-101°F 20%
104-105°F 12%
106-107°F 3%
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
20%
102-103°F
68%
104-105°F
12%
106-107°F
3%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
102-103°F 68%
100-101°F 20%
104-105°F 12%
106-107°F 3%
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
20%
102-103°F
68%
104-105°F
12%
106-107°F
3%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...**National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 16, 2026, call for sunny skies and a high near 103°F under a persistent heat dome, directly supporting the market's strong preference for the 102-103°F bin at 68.5% implied probability.** Official guidance from the NWS Fort Worth/Dallas office highlights a south-southwest wind and heat index values potentially reaching 106-107°F, consistent with the broader summer pattern of above-normal temperatures across North Texas. Recent model consensus has held steady in the low 100s range, with limited spread across ensembles, which explains why 100-101°F sits at 18.5% and 104-105°F at just 7.5%. A prolonged period of high pressure and minimal cloud cover has sustained triple-digit heat through mid-August, pushing daily maxima 2-4°F above seasonal averages. With resolution tied to the official high at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport, traders have aligned closely with the latest NWS point forecast and the absence of any cooling fronts or convective activity expected to alter the outcome today.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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