Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs positions Munich's September 26 high near 22–23°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and negligible precipitation risk, aligning with the market's leading 56% implied probability for 23°C and 28% for 22°C. This warmth reflects a stable high-pressure ridge advecting milder air northward, pushing daytime maxima several degrees above the 1991–2020 September 26 average of 18°C. Low humidity and minimal cloud cover should support efficient solar heating during peak afternoon hours, while ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short two-day lead time. Updated official DWD guidance or the next ECMWF cycle could shift resolution thresholds if steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing change.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Munich on September 26?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 26?
23°C 56%
22°C 27%
24°C 14%
20°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 26, 2026
16°C or below
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
10%
21°C
10%
22°C
27%
23°C
56%
24°C
14%
25°C
6%
26°C or higher
3%
23°C 56%
22°C 27%
24°C 14%
20°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 26, 2026
16°C or below
$0 KL.
2%
17°C
$5 KL.
<1%
18°C
$0 KL.
3%
19°C
$0 KL.
4%
20°C
$5 KL.
10%
21°C
$10 KL.
10%
22°C
$10 KL.
27%
23°C
$145 KL.
56%
24°C
$16 KL.
14%
25°C
$10 KL.
6%
26°C or higher
$0 KL.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs positions Munich's September 26 high near 22–23°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and negligible precipitation risk, aligning with the market's leading 56% implied probability for 23°C and 28% for 22°C. This warmth reflects a stable high-pressure ridge advecting milder air northward, pushing daytime maxima several degrees above the 1991–2020 September 26 average of 18°C. Low humidity and minimal cloud cover should support efficient solar heating during peak afternoon hours, while ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short two-day lead time. Updated official DWD guidance or the next ECMWF cycle could shift resolution thresholds if steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$200Ngày kết thúc
Sep 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmNgười giải quyết
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs positions Munich's September 26 high near 22–23°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and negligible precipitation risk, aligning with the market's leading 56% implied probability for 23°C and 28% for 22°C. This warmth reflects a stable high-pressure ridge advecting milder air northward, pushing daytime maxima several degrees above the 1991–2020 September 26 average of 18°C. Low humidity and minimal cloud cover should support efficient solar heating during peak afternoon hours, while ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short two-day lead time. Updated official DWD guidance or the next ECMWF cycle could shift resolution thresholds if steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$200Ngày kết thúc
Sep 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmNgười giải quyết
0x69c47de9d...Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs positions Munich's September 26 high near 22–23°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and negligible precipitation risk, aligning with the market's leading 56% implied probability for 23°C and 28% for 22°C. This warmth reflects a stable high-pressure ridge advecting milder air northward, pushing daytime maxima several degrees above the 1991–2020 September 26 average of 18°C. Low humidity and minimal cloud cover should support efficient solar heating during peak afternoon hours, while ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short two-day lead time. Updated official DWD guidance or the next ECMWF cycle could shift resolution thresholds if steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing change.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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