Recent forecast models, including DWD-MOS and ECMWF outputs, point to clear skies and light southerly winds over Munich on September 26, favoring radiative cooling overnight and a minimum temperature likely between 5–8 °C—well below the 1991–2020 average low of 8.9 °C but above freezing. This setup, under a high-pressure influence, explains the near-even market split between the 0 °C-or-below and 10 °C-or-higher bins, as small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could push readings a few degrees either way. Historical records show September 26 lows as low as –1 °C, underscoring that late-month radiative nights remain capable of sharp drops when conditions align. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the implied-probability gap.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Munich on September 26?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 26?
10°C or higher 98%
2°C 40%
3°C 40%
1°C 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 26, 2026
0°C or below
<1%
1°C
39%
2°C
40%
3°C
40%
4°C
39%
5°C
39%
6°C
39%
7°C
39%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C or higher
98%
10°C or higher 98%
2°C 40%
3°C 40%
1°C 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 26, 2026
0°C or below
$0 KL.
<1%
1°C
$0 KL.
39%
2°C
$0 KL.
40%
3°C
$0 KL.
40%
4°C
$0 KL.
39%
5°C
$0 KL.
39%
6°C
$0 KL.
39%
7°C
$0 KL.
39%
8°C
$0 KL.
39%
9°C
$0 KL.
39%
10°C or higher
$0 KL.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models, including DWD-MOS and ECMWF outputs, point to clear skies and light southerly winds over Munich on September 26, favoring radiative cooling overnight and a minimum temperature likely between 5–8 °C—well below the 1991–2020 average low of 8.9 °C but above freezing. This setup, under a high-pressure influence, explains the near-even market split between the 0 °C-or-below and 10 °C-or-higher bins, as small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could push readings a few degrees either way. Historical records show September 26 lows as low as –1 °C, underscoring that late-month radiative nights remain capable of sharp drops when conditions align. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the implied-probability gap.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmNgười giải quyết
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models, including DWD-MOS and ECMWF outputs, point to clear skies and light southerly winds over Munich on September 26, favoring radiative cooling overnight and a minimum temperature likely between 5–8 °C—well below the 1991–2020 average low of 8.9 °C but above freezing. This setup, under a high-pressure influence, explains the near-even market split between the 0 °C-or-below and 10 °C-or-higher bins, as small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could push readings a few degrees either way. Historical records show September 26 lows as low as –1 °C, underscoring that late-month radiative nights remain capable of sharp drops when conditions align. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the implied-probability gap.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmNgười giải quyết
0x69c47de9d...Recent forecast models, including DWD-MOS and ECMWF outputs, point to clear skies and light southerly winds over Munich on September 26, favoring radiative cooling overnight and a minimum temperature likely between 5–8 °C—well below the 1991–2020 average low of 8.9 °C but above freezing. This setup, under a high-pressure influence, explains the near-even market split between the 0 °C-or-below and 10 °C-or-higher bins, as small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could push readings a few degrees either way. Historical records show September 26 lows as low as –1 °C, underscoring that late-month radiative nights remain capable of sharp drops when conditions align. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the implied-probability gap.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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