Ensemble forecast models place Panama City's August 14 maximum near seasonal norms of 30–32 °C, with trader-implied odds clustering tightly around 32–33 °C because of modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and convective rainfall timing during the wet season. High humidity and the Intertropical Convergence Zone sustain elevated baseline temperatures, yet scattered showers can suppress peaks by 1–2 °C depending on onset. Official guidance from regional meteorological agencies shows limited spread across runs, keeping 34 °C or higher at lower probability while outcomes below 31 °C remain unlikely absent atypical subsidence. Updated model cycles and satellite observations of regional moisture will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Panama City on August 14?
33°C 37%
32°C 29%
34°C 16%
31°C 11%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
11%
32°C
29%
33°C
37%
34°C
16%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 37%
32°C 29%
34°C 16%
31°C 11%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
11%
32°C
29%
33°C
37%
34°C
16%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecast models place Panama City's August 14 maximum near seasonal norms of 30–32 °C, with trader-implied odds clustering tightly around 32–33 °C because of modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and convective rainfall timing during the wet season. High humidity and the Intertropical Convergence Zone sustain elevated baseline temperatures, yet scattered showers can suppress peaks by 1–2 °C depending on onset. Official guidance from regional meteorological agencies shows limited spread across runs, keeping 34 °C or higher at lower probability while outcomes below 31 °C remain unlikely absent atypical subsidence. Updated model cycles and satellite observations of regional moisture will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp