Forecast models from multiple sources, including Met Office, Yr, and regional services, converge on a high of 27–28°C for São Paulo on August 27 under mostly sunny skies with light northerly flow and minimal cloud cover. This follows several cooler, overcast days with highs near 20–24°C and reflects a warming air mass ahead of a later cold front. Light winds and reduced humidity support efficient daytime heating at the city’s elevation, consistent with late-winter climatology that shows typical August maxima around 23–27°C. The 49.5% market-implied probability on 28°C and 25.5% on 29°C align closely with this consensus range, while lower outcomes would require unexpected cloud persistence or earlier frontal influence not currently indicated in official guidance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 27?
28°C 50%
29°C 26%
27°C 15%
25°C 9%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
2%
25°C
9%
26°C
9%
27°C
15%
28°C
50%
29°C
26%
30°C
7%
31°C or higher
6%
28°C 50%
29°C 26%
27°C 15%
25°C 9%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
2%
25°C
9%
26°C
9%
27°C
15%
28°C
50%
29°C
26%
30°C
7%
31°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 25, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from multiple sources, including Met Office, Yr, and regional services, converge on a high of 27–28°C for São Paulo on August 27 under mostly sunny skies with light northerly flow and minimal cloud cover. This follows several cooler, overcast days with highs near 20–24°C and reflects a warming air mass ahead of a later cold front. Light winds and reduced humidity support efficient daytime heating at the city’s elevation, consistent with late-winter climatology that shows typical August maxima around 23–27°C. The 49.5% market-implied probability on 28°C and 25.5% on 29°C align closely with this consensus range, while lower outcomes would require unexpected cloud persistence or earlier frontal influence not currently indicated in official guidance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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