Trader consensus prices "2" at 100% reflecting confirmed Israeli airstrikes solely against Iran and Lebanon during April 2026, amid the ongoing US-Israel-Iran war and Hezbollah escalations. The IDF conducted sustained drone, missile, and air operations on Iranian military infrastructure—including petrochemical facilities and nuclear sites—as part of Operation Roaring Lion/Epic Fury, while launching massive waves against Hezbollah targets in southern Lebanon and Beirut suburbs, such as the April 8 barrage killing over 250 despite a US-brokered ceasefire. No verifiable strikes hit other UN member states' soil, like Syria or Yemen, solidifying the exact count. Late-breaking reports of additional actions or disputes over proxy strikes could prompt resolution challenges, though trader pricing dismisses such risks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHow many countries will Israel conduct military action against in April?
How many countries will Israel conduct military action against in April?
2 100.0%
≤1 <1%
3 <1%
≥4 <1%
$163,676 KL.
$163,676 KL.
Apr 30, 2026
≤1
No
2
Yes
3
No
≥4
No
2 100.0%
≤1 <1%
3 <1%
≥4 <1%
$163,676 KL.
$163,676 KL.
Apr 30, 2026
≤1
$7,467 KL.
No
2
$49,418 KL.
Yes
3
$45,152 KL.
No
≥4
$61,639 KL.
No
This market will resolve according to the total number of different sovereign UN member states' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country where the embassy or consulate is located, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of market creation, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices "2" at 100% reflecting confirmed Israeli airstrikes solely against Iran and Lebanon during April 2026, amid the ongoing US-Israel-Iran war and Hezbollah escalations. The IDF conducted sustained drone, missile, and air operations on Iranian military infrastructure—including petrochemical facilities and nuclear sites—as part of Operation Roaring Lion/Epic Fury, while launching massive waves against Hezbollah targets in southern Lebanon and Beirut suburbs, such as the April 8 barrage killing over 250 despite a US-brokered ceasefire. No verifiable strikes hit other UN member states' soil, like Syria or Yemen, solidifying the exact count. Late-breaking reports of additional actions or disputes over proxy strikes could prompt resolution challenges, though trader pricing dismisses such risks.
This market will resolve according to the total number of different sovereign UN member states' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country where the embassy or consulate is located, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of market creation, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country where the embassy or consulate is located, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of market creation, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Mar 27, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
Khối lượng
$163,676Ngày kết thúc
Apr 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 27, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve according to the total number of different sovereign UN member states' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country where the embassy or consulate is located, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of market creation, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices "2" at 100% reflecting confirmed Israeli airstrikes solely against Iran and Lebanon during April 2026, amid the ongoing US-Israel-Iran war and Hezbollah escalations. The IDF conducted sustained drone, missile, and air operations on Iranian military infrastructure—including petrochemical facilities and nuclear sites—as part of Operation Roaring Lion/Epic Fury, while launching massive waves against Hezbollah targets in southern Lebanon and Beirut suburbs, such as the April 8 barrage killing over 250 despite a US-brokered ceasefire. No verifiable strikes hit other UN member states' soil, like Syria or Yemen, solidifying the exact count. Late-breaking reports of additional actions or disputes over proxy strikes could prompt resolution challenges, though trader pricing dismisses such risks.
This market will resolve according to the total number of different sovereign UN member states' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country where the embassy or consulate is located, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of market creation, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country where the embassy or consulate is located, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of market creation, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$163,676Ngày kết thúc
Apr 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 27, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus prices "2" at 100% reflecting confirmed Israeli airstrikes solely against Iran and Lebanon during April 2026, amid the ongoing US-Israel-Iran war and Hezbollah escalations. The IDF conducted sustained drone, missile, and air operations on Iranian military infrastructure—including petrochemical facilities and nuclear sites—as part of Operation Roaring Lion/Epic Fury, while launching massive waves against Hezbollah targets in southern Lebanon and Beirut suburbs, such as the April 8 barrage killing over 250 despite a US-brokered ceasefire. No verifiable strikes hit other UN member states' soil, like Syria or Yemen, solidifying the exact count. Late-breaking reports of additional actions or disputes over proxy strikes could prompt resolution challenges, though trader pricing dismisses such risks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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