Forecast models from sources like PredictWind and Turkish meteorological services indicate a minimum temperature for Ankara on August 27 likely between 16–19°C under clear skies, light northerly winds, and dry conditions that promote strong nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 30–33°C. Ensemble consensus and recent runs show slight cooling relative to prior days, with some outputs favoring 16–17°C due to enhanced clear-air heat loss while others hold near 18–19°C depending on boundary-layer wind speeds and dewpoint values around 8–12°C. This narrow range and model spread explain the near-even market split between 17°C or below and 18°C, as traders weigh the potential for marginally stronger cooling against typical late-August climatology. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours could refine the exact low before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Ankara on August 27?
20°C 47%
17°C or below 44%
18°C 44%
21°C 10%
17°C or below
44%
18°C
44%
19°C
6%
20°C
47%
21°C
10%
22°C
10%
23°C
10%
24°C
8%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
3%
20°C 47%
17°C or below 44%
18°C 44%
21°C 10%
17°C or below
44%
18°C
44%
19°C
6%
20°C
47%
21°C
10%
22°C
10%
23°C
10%
24°C
8%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like PredictWind and Turkish meteorological services indicate a minimum temperature for Ankara on August 27 likely between 16–19°C under clear skies, light northerly winds, and dry conditions that promote strong nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 30–33°C. Ensemble consensus and recent runs show slight cooling relative to prior days, with some outputs favoring 16–17°C due to enhanced clear-air heat loss while others hold near 18–19°C depending on boundary-layer wind speeds and dewpoint values around 8–12°C. This narrow range and model spread explain the near-even market split between 17°C or below and 18°C, as traders weigh the potential for marginally stronger cooling against typical late-August climatology. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours could refine the exact low before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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