Recent forecasts from European models and agencies including the Finnish Meteorological Institute indicate overnight lows in Helsinki on September 19 stabilizing near 12–13 °C under persistent southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. This pattern follows several days of above-normal temperatures and aligns with climatological baselines for mid-September, where minimums rarely dip below 10 °C without a stronger northerly intrusion. Trader positioning favors 12 °C as the leading outcome because model consensus shows little potential for sharper drops, while the modest probabilities attached to 11 °C and 9 °C reflect residual uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing skies or wind shifts before dawn. Updated guidance later today will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Helsinki on September 19?
12°C 47%
9°C 39%
10°C 39%
13°C 39%
7°C or below
3%
8°C
9%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
27%
12°C
47%
13°C
39%
14°C
37%
15°C
37%
16°C
37%
17°C or higher
2%
12°C 47%
9°C 39%
10°C 39%
13°C 39%
7°C or below
3%
8°C
9%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
27%
12°C
47%
13°C
39%
14°C
37%
15°C
37%
16°C
37%
17°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from European models and agencies including the Finnish Meteorological Institute indicate overnight lows in Helsinki on September 19 stabilizing near 12–13 °C under persistent southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. This pattern follows several days of above-normal temperatures and aligns with climatological baselines for mid-September, where minimums rarely dip below 10 °C without a stronger northerly intrusion. Trader positioning favors 12 °C as the leading outcome because model consensus shows little potential for sharper drops, while the modest probabilities attached to 11 °C and 9 °C reflect residual uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing skies or wind shifts before dawn. Updated guidance later today will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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