Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly clear skies and northeasterly winds over Istanbul on September 3, supporting overnight lows near 21–22°C under stable high pressure. This pattern, with light to moderate NE flow and minimal cloud cover, limits radiative cooling while urban and maritime influences prevent sharper drops typical of early September climatology. Trader consensus clusters around 22°C as the most probable minimum, with elevated odds on 27°C or higher reflecting uncertainty over whether urban heat retention or slight model warming could keep the low elevated. Resolution hinges on official observations at the primary station, where small shifts in wind or dew point could differentiate outcomes near the 21–23°C range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 3?
27°C or higher 61%
18°C 50%
22°C 40%
21°C 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 3, 2026
17°C or below
6%
18°C
50%
19°C
27%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
40%
23°C
27%
24°C
26%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
61%
27°C or higher 61%
18°C 50%
22°C 40%
21°C 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 3, 2026
17°C or below
$5 KL.
6%
18°C
$5 KL.
50%
19°C
$0 KL.
27%
20°C
$0 KL.
27%
21°C
$0 KL.
27%
22°C
$0 KL.
40%
23°C
$0 KL.
27%
24°C
$0 KL.
26%
25°C
$5 KL.
3%
26°C
$5 KL.
2%
27°C or higher
$5 KL.
61%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly clear skies and northeasterly winds over Istanbul on September 3, supporting overnight lows near 21–22°C under stable high pressure. This pattern, with light to moderate NE flow and minimal cloud cover, limits radiative cooling while urban and maritime influences prevent sharper drops typical of early September climatology. Trader consensus clusters around 22°C as the most probable minimum, with elevated odds on 27°C or higher reflecting uncertainty over whether urban heat retention or slight model warming could keep the low elevated. Resolution hinges on official observations at the primary station, where small shifts in wind or dew point could differentiate outcomes near the 21–23°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$25Ngày kết thúc
Sep 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly clear skies and northeasterly winds over Istanbul on September 3, supporting overnight lows near 21–22°C under stable high pressure. This pattern, with light to moderate NE flow and minimal cloud cover, limits radiative cooling while urban and maritime influences prevent sharper drops typical of early September climatology. Trader consensus clusters around 22°C as the most probable minimum, with elevated odds on 27°C or higher reflecting uncertainty over whether urban heat retention or slight model warming could keep the low elevated. Resolution hinges on official observations at the primary station, where small shifts in wind or dew point could differentiate outcomes near the 21–23°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$25Ngày kết thúc
Sep 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly clear skies and northeasterly winds over Istanbul on September 3, supporting overnight lows near 21–22°C under stable high pressure. This pattern, with light to moderate NE flow and minimal cloud cover, limits radiative cooling while urban and maritime influences prevent sharper drops typical of early September climatology. Trader consensus clusters around 22°C as the most probable minimum, with elevated odds on 27°C or higher reflecting uncertainty over whether urban heat retention or slight model warming could keep the low elevated. Resolution hinges on official observations at the primary station, where small shifts in wind or dew point could differentiate outcomes near the 21–23°C range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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