Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate a humid, mostly cloudy night ahead of September 4 with an expected overnight low near 73–75 °F, driven by persistent southerly flow and elevated dew points that limit radiational cooling. This places the outcome near the middle of the distribution, where recent model consensus shows limited spread, yet the closely matched 46 % market-implied odds on the 67 °F-or-below and 86 °F-or-higher tails reflect residual uncertainty from potential convective timing and lake-breeze modulation. Historical September climatology (average low 63 °F) underscores how atypical warmth currently elevates the floor, while any earlier clearing or stronger advection could still shift the minimum by several degrees.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Chicago on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Chicago on September 4?
67°F or below 92%
86°F or higher 92%
76-77°F 50%
68-69°F 49%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 4, 2026
67°F or below
92%
68-69°F
49%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
49%
74-75°F
28%
76-77°F
50%
78-79°F
49%
80-81°F
49%
82-83°F
49%
84-85°F
49%
86°F or higher
92%
67°F or below 92%
86°F or higher 92%
76-77°F 50%
68-69°F 49%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 4, 2026
67°F or below
$0 KL.
92%
68-69°F
$0 KL.
49%
70-71°F
$0 KL.
27%
72-73°F
$0 KL.
49%
74-75°F
$0 KL.
28%
76-77°F
$0 KL.
50%
78-79°F
$0 KL.
49%
80-81°F
$0 KL.
49%
82-83°F
$0 KL.
49%
84-85°F
$0 KL.
49%
86°F or higher
$0 KL.
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate a humid, mostly cloudy night ahead of September 4 with an expected overnight low near 73–75 °F, driven by persistent southerly flow and elevated dew points that limit radiational cooling. This places the outcome near the middle of the distribution, where recent model consensus shows limited spread, yet the closely matched 46 % market-implied odds on the 67 °F-or-below and 86 °F-or-higher tails reflect residual uncertainty from potential convective timing and lake-breeze modulation. Historical September climatology (average low 63 °F) underscores how atypical warmth currently elevates the floor, while any earlier clearing or stronger advection could still shift the minimum by several degrees.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate a humid, mostly cloudy night ahead of September 4 with an expected overnight low near 73–75 °F, driven by persistent southerly flow and elevated dew points that limit radiational cooling. This places the outcome near the middle of the distribution, where recent model consensus shows limited spread, yet the closely matched 46 % market-implied odds on the 67 °F-or-below and 86 °F-or-higher tails reflect residual uncertainty from potential convective timing and lake-breeze modulation. Historical September climatology (average low 63 °F) underscores how atypical warmth currently elevates the floor, while any earlier clearing or stronger advection could still shift the minimum by several degrees.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate a humid, mostly cloudy night ahead of September 4 with an expected overnight low near 73–75 °F, driven by persistent southerly flow and elevated dew points that limit radiational cooling. This places the outcome near the middle of the distribution, where recent model consensus shows limited spread, yet the closely matched 46 % market-implied odds on the 67 °F-or-below and 86 °F-or-higher tails reflect residual uncertainty from potential convective timing and lake-breeze modulation. Historical September climatology (average low 63 °F) underscores how atypical warmth currently elevates the floor, while any earlier clearing or stronger advection could still shift the minimum by several degrees.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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