**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models point to a Friday night low in the mid-70s for Austin on September 4, 2026, aligning with the tightly bunched market leaders around 74–77°F.** Persistent southerly flow and high dew points are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, while partly cloudy skies and light winds further moderate temperature drops. This late-summer pattern follows several days of 98–102°F highs and overnight lows stuck in the upper 70s, with only modest relief expected from any scattered showers. Model consensus (including recent GFS and NWS guidance) favors a minimum near 76–77°F at Austin-Bergstrom, though exact values hinge on cloud cover timing and boundary-layer moisture. Historical September 4 averages (around 71°F) highlight how the current warm advection has elevated expectations. Extreme outcomes remain possible only with unexpected frontal passage or clear, calm conditions that allow deeper cooling, but near-term data releases and updated model runs through September 3 evening will refine the narrow range separating the top probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Austin on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Austin on September 4?
88°F or higher 71%
69°F or below 70%
70-71°F 49%
72-73°F 49%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 4, 2026
69°F or below
70%
70-71°F
49%
72-73°F
49%
74-75°F
31%
76-77°F
36%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
49%
82-83°F
49%
84-85°F
49%
86-87°F
19%
88°F or higher
71%
88°F or higher 71%
69°F or below 70%
70-71°F 49%
72-73°F 49%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 4, 2026
69°F or below
$0 KL.
70%
70-71°F
$0 KL.
49%
72-73°F
$0 KL.
49%
74-75°F
$0 KL.
31%
76-77°F
$0 KL.
36%
78-79°F
$0 KL.
27%
80-81°F
$0 KL.
49%
82-83°F
$0 KL.
49%
84-85°F
$0 KL.
49%
86-87°F
$0 KL.
19%
88°F or higher
$0 KL.
71%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models point to a Friday night low in the mid-70s for Austin on September 4, 2026, aligning with the tightly bunched market leaders around 74–77°F.** Persistent southerly flow and high dew points are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, while partly cloudy skies and light winds further moderate temperature drops. This late-summer pattern follows several days of 98–102°F highs and overnight lows stuck in the upper 70s, with only modest relief expected from any scattered showers.
Model consensus (including recent GFS and NWS guidance) favors a minimum near 76–77°F at Austin-Bergstrom, though exact values hinge on cloud cover timing and boundary-layer moisture. Historical September 4 averages (around 71°F) highlight how the current warm advection has elevated expectations. Extreme outcomes remain possible only with unexpected frontal passage or clear, calm conditions that allow deeper cooling, but near-term data releases and updated model runs through September 3 evening will refine the narrow range separating the top probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models point to a Friday night low in the mid-70s for Austin on September 4, 2026, aligning with the tightly bunched market leaders around 74–77°F.** Persistent southerly flow and high dew points are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, while partly cloudy skies and light winds further moderate temperature drops. This late-summer pattern follows several days of 98–102°F highs and overnight lows stuck in the upper 70s, with only modest relief expected from any scattered showers.
Model consensus (including recent GFS and NWS guidance) favors a minimum near 76–77°F at Austin-Bergstrom, though exact values hinge on cloud cover timing and boundary-layer moisture. Historical September 4 averages (around 71°F) highlight how the current warm advection has elevated expectations. Extreme outcomes remain possible only with unexpected frontal passage or clear, calm conditions that allow deeper cooling, but near-term data releases and updated model runs through September 3 evening will refine the narrow range separating the top probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models point to a Friday night low in the mid-70s for Austin on September 4, 2026, aligning with the tightly bunched market leaders around 74–77°F.** Persistent southerly flow and high dew points are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, while partly cloudy skies and light winds further moderate temperature drops. This late-summer pattern follows several days of 98–102°F highs and overnight lows stuck in the upper 70s, with only modest relief expected from any scattered showers. Model consensus (including recent GFS and NWS guidance) favors a minimum near 76–77°F at Austin-Bergstrom, though exact values hinge on cloud cover timing and boundary-layer moisture. Historical September 4 averages (around 71°F) highlight how the current warm advection has elevated expectations. Extreme outcomes remain possible only with unexpected frontal passage or clear, calm conditions that allow deeper cooling, but near-term data releases and updated model runs through September 3 evening will refine the narrow range separating the top probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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