Trader consensus around 20–22°C for London's June 25 overnight low reflects Met Office ensemble guidance during the current extreme heat event, with high pressure suppressing cloud cover and limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under light winds. Recent model runs show slight divergence on Atlantic moisture influx that could raise or suppress the minimum by 1–2°C, keeping probabilities tightly clustered. Above the long-term June average of 11–12°C, these conditions favor warmer-than-normal readings while underscoring forecast sensitivity to boundary-layer humidity and urban heat-island effects ahead of the next model update.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in London on June 25?
Lowest temperature in London on June 25?
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$13,426 KL.
$13,426 KL.
Jun 25, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$13,426 KL.
$13,426 KL.
Jun 25, 2026
15°C or below
$223 KL.
No
16°C
$581 KL.
No
17°C
$596 KL.
No
18°C
$1,058 KL.
No
19°C
$1,584 KL.
No
20°C
$4,615 KL.
Yes
21°C
$1,930 KL.
No
22°C
$634 KL.
No
23°C
$1,121 KL.
No
24°C
$698 KL.
No
25°C or higher
$385 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 20–22°C for London's June 25 overnight low reflects Met Office ensemble guidance during the current extreme heat event, with high pressure suppressing cloud cover and limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under light winds. Recent model runs show slight divergence on Atlantic moisture influx that could raise or suppress the minimum by 1–2°C, keeping probabilities tightly clustered. Above the long-term June average of 11–12°C, these conditions favor warmer-than-normal readings while underscoring forecast sensitivity to boundary-layer humidity and urban heat-island effects ahead of the next model update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$13,426Ngày kết thúc
Jun 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 20–22°C for London's June 25 overnight low reflects Met Office ensemble guidance during the current extreme heat event, with high pressure suppressing cloud cover and limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under light winds. Recent model runs show slight divergence on Atlantic moisture influx that could raise or suppress the minimum by 1–2°C, keeping probabilities tightly clustered. Above the long-term June average of 11–12°C, these conditions favor warmer-than-normal readings while underscoring forecast sensitivity to boundary-layer humidity and urban heat-island effects ahead of the next model update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$13,426Ngày kết thúc
Jun 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus around 20–22°C for London's June 25 overnight low reflects Met Office ensemble guidance during the current extreme heat event, with high pressure suppressing cloud cover and limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under light winds. Recent model runs show slight divergence on Atlantic moisture influx that could raise or suppress the minimum by 1–2°C, keeping probabilities tightly clustered. Above the long-term June average of 11–12°C, these conditions favor warmer-than-normal readings while underscoring forecast sensitivity to boundary-layer humidity and urban heat-island effects ahead of the next model update.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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