Persistent monsoon activity and widespread cloud cover across northern India are moderating overnight temperatures in Lucknow ahead of September 3. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate minimum temperatures near 25–26°C, driven by high humidity, light winds, and frequent thundershowers that limit radiative cooling. Recent heavy rainfall (over 30 mm in parts of Uttar Pradesh) has erased seasonal deficits and sustained moist conditions, supporting the market’s leading 27°C outcome at 39% implied probability while leaving room for slight downward revisions if clearer skies develop overnight. Model consensus shows limited divergence, with resolution hinging on the precise timing and intensity of any late-evening precipitation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 3?
21°C or below 66%
31°C or higher 64%
22°C 50%
23°C 50%
21°C or below
66%
22°C
50%
23°C
50%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
41%
28°C
5%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
64%
21°C or below 66%
31°C or higher 64%
22°C 50%
23°C 50%
21°C or below
66%
22°C
50%
23°C
50%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
41%
28°C
5%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
64%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Persistent monsoon activity and widespread cloud cover across northern India are moderating overnight temperatures in Lucknow ahead of September 3. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate minimum temperatures near 25–26°C, driven by high humidity, light winds, and frequent thundershowers that limit radiative cooling. Recent heavy rainfall (over 30 mm in parts of Uttar Pradesh) has erased seasonal deficits and sustained moist conditions, supporting the market’s leading 27°C outcome at 39% implied probability while leaving room for slight downward revisions if clearer skies develop overnight. Model consensus shows limited divergence, with resolution hinging on the precise timing and intensity of any late-evening precipitation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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