Recent observational data from Madrid weather stations, including official AEMET-linked monitoring, recorded a daily minimum of 16.3°C on August 27, aligning closely with model consensus from earlier runs projecting overnight lows near 15–17°C under clear to partly cloudy conditions with southwesterly flow. This evidence underpins the market's strong 90.5% implied probability for exactly 16°C as the lowest temperature. Historical August averages near 18°C and recent cooling trends further support this outcome. Only a late unforecasted drop below 15°C or significant station variance would realistically shift resolution away from the consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Madrid on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on August 27?
16°C 99%
14°C 1.0%
15°C 1.0%
13°C or below <1%
$2,910 KL.
$2,910 KL.
Aug 27, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
16°C 99%
14°C 1.0%
15°C 1.0%
13°C or below <1%
$2,910 KL.
$2,910 KL.
Aug 27, 2026
13°C or below
$342 KL.
No
14°C
$183 KL.
No
15°C
$270 KL.
No
16°C
$424 KL.
Yes
17°C
$719 KL.
No
18°C
$278 KL.
No
19°C
$131 KL.
No
20°C
$50 KL.
No
21°C
$100 KL.
No
22°C
$129 KL.
No
23°C or higher
$285 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from Madrid weather stations, including official AEMET-linked monitoring, recorded a daily minimum of 16.3°C on August 27, aligning closely with model consensus from earlier runs projecting overnight lows near 15–17°C under clear to partly cloudy conditions with southwesterly flow. This evidence underpins the market's strong 90.5% implied probability for exactly 16°C as the lowest temperature. Historical August averages near 18°C and recent cooling trends further support this outcome. Only a late unforecasted drop below 15°C or significant station variance would realistically shift resolution away from the consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,910Ngày kết thúc
Aug 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from Madrid weather stations, including official AEMET-linked monitoring, recorded a daily minimum of 16.3°C on August 27, aligning closely with model consensus from earlier runs projecting overnight lows near 15–17°C under clear to partly cloudy conditions with southwesterly flow. This evidence underpins the market's strong 90.5% implied probability for exactly 16°C as the lowest temperature. Historical August averages near 18°C and recent cooling trends further support this outcome. Only a late unforecasted drop below 15°C or significant station variance would realistically shift resolution away from the consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,910Ngày kết thúc
Aug 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent observational data from Madrid weather stations, including official AEMET-linked monitoring, recorded a daily minimum of 16.3°C on August 27, aligning closely with model consensus from earlier runs projecting overnight lows near 15–17°C under clear to partly cloudy conditions with southwesterly flow. This evidence underpins the market's strong 90.5% implied probability for exactly 16°C as the lowest temperature. Historical August averages near 18°C and recent cooling trends further support this outcome. Only a late unforecasted drop below 15°C or significant station variance would realistically shift resolution away from the consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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