**Clear skies and moderate northwesterly winds following overnight clearing after Tuesday's light rain have driven model consensus toward a 12°C minimum in Paris on September 9, 2026, producing the 94% market-implied probability.** Official forecasts from sources such as Météo-France-aligned models and GFS output project overnight lows near this value, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 12.2°C for the date. Radiational cooling under mostly clear conditions, with dew points around 8–10°C and light winds limiting mixing, supports this outcome. A 12°C resolution aligns with the expected diurnal minimum before daytime heating to the low 20s. Realistic challenges include increased low-level cloud cover or a stronger nocturnal inversion that could push the low 1–2°C cooler, or unexpected warm advection from the west that might keep readings above 13°C. Updated model runs and official station observations from Paris-Montsouris or Orly will determine final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 9?
12°C 95%
9°C 2%
10°C 1.8%
11°C 2%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 9, 2026
8°C or below
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
95%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
12°C 95%
9°C 2%
10°C 1.8%
11°C 2%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 9, 2026
8°C or below
$65 KL.
1%
9°C
$71 KL.
2%
10°C
$129 KL.
2%
11°C
$294 KL.
2%
12°C
$1,206 KL.
95%
13°C
$3,239 KL.
<1%
14°C
$358 KL.
<1%
15°C
$144 KL.
<1%
16°C
$143 KL.
<1%
17°C
$99 KL.
<1%
18°C or higher
$182 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and moderate northwesterly winds following overnight clearing after Tuesday's light rain have driven model consensus toward a 12°C minimum in Paris on September 9, 2026, producing the 94% market-implied probability.** Official forecasts from sources such as Météo-France-aligned models and GFS output project overnight lows near this value, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 12.2°C for the date. Radiational cooling under mostly clear conditions, with dew points around 8–10°C and light winds limiting mixing, supports this outcome. A 12°C resolution aligns with the expected diurnal minimum before daytime heating to the low 20s.
Realistic challenges include increased low-level cloud cover or a stronger nocturnal inversion that could push the low 1–2°C cooler, or unexpected warm advection from the west that might keep readings above 13°C. Updated model runs and official station observations from Paris-Montsouris or Orly will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$5,929Ngày kết thúc
Sep 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and moderate northwesterly winds following overnight clearing after Tuesday's light rain have driven model consensus toward a 12°C minimum in Paris on September 9, 2026, producing the 94% market-implied probability.** Official forecasts from sources such as Météo-France-aligned models and GFS output project overnight lows near this value, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 12.2°C for the date. Radiational cooling under mostly clear conditions, with dew points around 8–10°C and light winds limiting mixing, supports this outcome. A 12°C resolution aligns with the expected diurnal minimum before daytime heating to the low 20s.
Realistic challenges include increased low-level cloud cover or a stronger nocturnal inversion that could push the low 1–2°C cooler, or unexpected warm advection from the west that might keep readings above 13°C. Updated model runs and official station observations from Paris-Montsouris or Orly will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$5,929Ngày kết thúc
Sep 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies and moderate northwesterly winds following overnight clearing after Tuesday's light rain have driven model consensus toward a 12°C minimum in Paris on September 9, 2026, producing the 94% market-implied probability.** Official forecasts from sources such as Météo-France-aligned models and GFS output project overnight lows near this value, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 12.2°C for the date. Radiational cooling under mostly clear conditions, with dew points around 8–10°C and light winds limiting mixing, supports this outcome. A 12°C resolution aligns with the expected diurnal minimum before daytime heating to the low 20s. Realistic challenges include increased low-level cloud cover or a stronger nocturnal inversion that could push the low 1–2°C cooler, or unexpected warm advection from the west that might keep readings above 13°C. Updated model runs and official station observations from Paris-Montsouris or Orly will determine final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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