Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, updated early on April 29, pins Seoul's morning low at 9°C, driving the market's 99.3% implied probability on this outcome amid high-confidence model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles. Clear skies overnight and light winds have enabled radiative cooling to this level, aligning with typical late-April diurnal patterns in the Seoul basin where urban heat islands moderate extremes but morning minima often dip to single digits Celsius. Historical data shows April 29 averages around 8–10°C lows, reinforcing trader sentiment. Realistic challenges include unexpected high cloud cover trapping heat or a minor cold air surge, potentially nudging the official KMA station reading to 8°C; final observations expected by evening.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Seoul on April 29?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on April 29?
9°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$19,337 KL.
$19,337 KL.
Apr 29, 2026
4°C or below
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
Yes
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C or higher
No
9°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$19,337 KL.
$19,337 KL.
Apr 29, 2026
4°C or below
$527 KL.
No
5°C
$384 KL.
No
6°C
$548 KL.
No
7°C
$3,185 KL.
No
8°C
$3,977 KL.
No
9°C
$4,768 KL.
Yes
10°C
$2,178 KL.
No
11°C
$200 KL.
No
12°C
$1,291 KL.
No
13°C
$1,022 KL.
No
14°C or higher
$1,256 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, updated early on April 29, pins Seoul's morning low at 9°C, driving the market's 99.3% implied probability on this outcome amid high-confidence model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles. Clear skies overnight and light winds have enabled radiative cooling to this level, aligning with typical late-April diurnal patterns in the Seoul basin where urban heat islands moderate extremes but morning minima often dip to single digits Celsius. Historical data shows April 29 averages around 8–10°C lows, reinforcing trader sentiment. Realistic challenges include unexpected high cloud cover trapping heat or a minor cold air surge, potentially nudging the official KMA station reading to 8°C; final observations expected by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 27, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Khối lượng
$19,337Ngày kết thúc
Apr 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 27, 2026, 12:01 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, updated early on April 29, pins Seoul's morning low at 9°C, driving the market's 99.3% implied probability on this outcome amid high-confidence model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles. Clear skies overnight and light winds have enabled radiative cooling to this level, aligning with typical late-April diurnal patterns in the Seoul basin where urban heat islands moderate extremes but morning minima often dip to single digits Celsius. Historical data shows April 29 averages around 8–10°C lows, reinforcing trader sentiment. Realistic challenges include unexpected high cloud cover trapping heat or a minor cold air surge, potentially nudging the official KMA station reading to 8°C; final observations expected by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$19,337Ngày kết thúc
Apr 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 27, 2026, 12:01 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, updated early on April 29, pins Seoul's morning low at 9°C, driving the market's 99.3% implied probability on this outcome amid high-confidence model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles. Clear skies overnight and light winds have enabled radiative cooling to this level, aligning with typical late-April diurnal patterns in the Seoul basin where urban heat islands moderate extremes but morning minima often dip to single digits Celsius. Historical data shows April 29 averages around 8–10°C lows, reinforcing trader sentiment. Realistic challenges include unexpected high cloud cover trapping heat or a minor cold air surge, potentially nudging the official KMA station reading to 8°C; final observations expected by evening.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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