**Recent forecasts from multiple models and agencies point to a minimum temperature in the Incheon/Seoul area on September 4, 2026, most likely between 20–22°C under clear to mostly clear skies and northeasterly flow.** This positioning reflects the early-September climatological transition, with weakening summer monsoon influence giving way to drier, cooler air advection from higher latitudes. Official and ensemble guidance (including ECMWF and GFS-derived products) consistently shows daytime highs near 29–30°C followed by overnight radiative cooling under low cloud cover, producing dew points around 17–19°C that cap how far temperatures can fall. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 20–21°C (with secondary support near 16–17°C and 23–24°C) captures residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds overnight, rather than any major synoptic shift. Historical analogs for early September show typical overnight minima near 20–21°C when high pressure dominates, aligning with the current stable pattern and low precipitation probability. Upcoming model updates and any late adjustments to wind or cloud forecasts remain the key variables that could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 4?
16°C 65%
17°C 65%
23°C 65%
24°C 65%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 4, 2026
15°C or below
50%
16°C
65%
17°C
65%
18°C
25%
19°C
25%
20°C
30%
21°C
36%
22°C
30%
23°C
65%
24°C
65%
25°C or higher
2%
16°C 65%
17°C 65%
23°C 65%
24°C 65%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 4, 2026
15°C or below
$0 KL.
50%
16°C
$0 KL.
65%
17°C
$0 KL.
65%
18°C
$0 KL.
25%
19°C
$0 KL.
25%
20°C
$0 KL.
30%
21°C
$0 KL.
36%
22°C
$0 KL.
30%
23°C
$0 KL.
65%
24°C
$0 KL.
65%
25°C or higher
$0 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from multiple models and agencies point to a minimum temperature in the Incheon/Seoul area on September 4, 2026, most likely between 20–22°C under clear to mostly clear skies and northeasterly flow.**
This positioning reflects the early-September climatological transition, with weakening summer monsoon influence giving way to drier, cooler air advection from higher latitudes. Official and ensemble guidance (including ECMWF and GFS-derived products) consistently shows daytime highs near 29–30°C followed by overnight radiative cooling under low cloud cover, producing dew points around 17–19°C that cap how far temperatures can fall.
The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 20–21°C (with secondary support near 16–17°C and 23–24°C) captures residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds overnight, rather than any major synoptic shift. Historical analogs for early September show typical overnight minima near 20–21°C when high pressure dominates, aligning with the current stable pattern and low precipitation probability.
Upcoming model updates and any late adjustments to wind or cloud forecasts remain the key variables that could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from multiple models and agencies point to a minimum temperature in the Incheon/Seoul area on September 4, 2026, most likely between 20–22°C under clear to mostly clear skies and northeasterly flow.**
This positioning reflects the early-September climatological transition, with weakening summer monsoon influence giving way to drier, cooler air advection from higher latitudes. Official and ensemble guidance (including ECMWF and GFS-derived products) consistently shows daytime highs near 29–30°C followed by overnight radiative cooling under low cloud cover, producing dew points around 17–19°C that cap how far temperatures can fall.
The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 20–21°C (with secondary support near 16–17°C and 23–24°C) captures residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds overnight, rather than any major synoptic shift. Historical analogs for early September show typical overnight minima near 20–21°C when high pressure dominates, aligning with the current stable pattern and low precipitation probability.
Upcoming model updates and any late adjustments to wind or cloud forecasts remain the key variables that could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from multiple models and agencies point to a minimum temperature in the Incheon/Seoul area on September 4, 2026, most likely between 20–22°C under clear to mostly clear skies and northeasterly flow.** This positioning reflects the early-September climatological transition, with weakening summer monsoon influence giving way to drier, cooler air advection from higher latitudes. Official and ensemble guidance (including ECMWF and GFS-derived products) consistently shows daytime highs near 29–30°C followed by overnight radiative cooling under low cloud cover, producing dew points around 17–19°C that cap how far temperatures can fall. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 20–21°C (with secondary support near 16–17°C and 23–24°C) captures residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds overnight, rather than any major synoptic shift. Historical analogs for early September show typical overnight minima near 20–21°C when high pressure dominates, aligning with the current stable pattern and low precipitation probability. Upcoming model updates and any late adjustments to wind or cloud forecasts remain the key variables that could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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