**Forecast models from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), Yr.no, and WeatherBug converge on an overnight minimum of 22–24°C for Incheon on September 2, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes (23°C at 49.5%, 24°C at 38.5%, 22°C at 13.5%).** Persistent late-summer warmth, high humidity, and variable cloud cover from recent regional rain systems limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from dropping further while light northwest-to-west winds (3–7 m/s) and scattered showers prevent significant warming. KMA’s official forecast explicitly lists a 22°C minimum and 28°C maximum for the day, consistent with ensemble guidance showing the lowest readings occurring in the pre-dawn hours under mostly cloudy skies. Historical early-September climatology for the region supports lows in this narrow band during transitional periods with residual monsoon moisture. Upcoming KMA updates and refined model runs in the next 12–24 hours will be the key data releases likely to refine these implied probabilities before the market resolves.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 2?
23°C 50%
24°C 39%
22°C 13%
21°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 2, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
13%
23°C
50%
24°C
39%
25°C
4%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
23°C 50%
24°C 39%
22°C 13%
21°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 2, 2026
18°C or below
$20 KL.
1%
19°C
$20 KL.
1%
20°C
$41 KL.
2%
21°C
$41 KL.
4%
22°C
$84 KL.
13%
23°C
$34 KL.
50%
24°C
$126 KL.
39%
25°C
$6 KL.
4%
26°C
$5 KL.
3%
27°C
$6 KL.
1%
28°C or higher
$51 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), Yr.no, and WeatherBug converge on an overnight minimum of 22–24°C for Incheon on September 2, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes (23°C at 49.5%, 24°C at 38.5%, 22°C at 13.5%).**
Persistent late-summer warmth, high humidity, and variable cloud cover from recent regional rain systems limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from dropping further while light northwest-to-west winds (3–7 m/s) and scattered showers prevent significant warming. KMA’s official forecast explicitly lists a 22°C minimum and 28°C maximum for the day, consistent with ensemble guidance showing the lowest readings occurring in the pre-dawn hours under mostly cloudy skies. Historical early-September climatology for the region supports lows in this narrow band during transitional periods with residual monsoon moisture. Upcoming KMA updates and refined model runs in the next 12–24 hours will be the key data releases likely to refine these implied probabilities before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$434Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), Yr.no, and WeatherBug converge on an overnight minimum of 22–24°C for Incheon on September 2, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes (23°C at 49.5%, 24°C at 38.5%, 22°C at 13.5%).**
Persistent late-summer warmth, high humidity, and variable cloud cover from recent regional rain systems limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from dropping further while light northwest-to-west winds (3–7 m/s) and scattered showers prevent significant warming. KMA’s official forecast explicitly lists a 22°C minimum and 28°C maximum for the day, consistent with ensemble guidance showing the lowest readings occurring in the pre-dawn hours under mostly cloudy skies. Historical early-September climatology for the region supports lows in this narrow band during transitional periods with residual monsoon moisture. Upcoming KMA updates and refined model runs in the next 12–24 hours will be the key data releases likely to refine these implied probabilities before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$434Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), Yr.no, and WeatherBug converge on an overnight minimum of 22–24°C for Incheon on September 2, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes (23°C at 49.5%, 24°C at 38.5%, 22°C at 13.5%).** Persistent late-summer warmth, high humidity, and variable cloud cover from recent regional rain systems limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from dropping further while light northwest-to-west winds (3–7 m/s) and scattered showers prevent significant warming. KMA’s official forecast explicitly lists a 22°C minimum and 28°C maximum for the day, consistent with ensemble guidance showing the lowest readings occurring in the pre-dawn hours under mostly cloudy skies. Historical early-September climatology for the region supports lows in this narrow band during transitional periods with residual monsoon moisture. Upcoming KMA updates and refined model runs in the next 12–24 hours will be the key data releases likely to refine these implied probabilities before the market resolves.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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