**Recent numerical weather prediction model consensus points to overnight lows in Shanghai on September 2, 2026, stabilizing in the 24–26°C range amid widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and periods of rain.** Multiple forecasts from sources including LUFT TIME, Worldmeteo, and Meteoprog indicate a minimum near 24–25°C, with persistent northeasterly flow and precipitation (some models project over 10–50 mm) limiting radiational cooling under overcast skies. This setup aligns with the market’s strongest implied probabilities for 26°C (46.0%) and nearby bins at 25°C and 27°C, as traders aggregate real-time model outputs and historical analogs for early-September Shanghai conditions influenced by residual monsoon moisture and weak frontal activity. Updated runs from global models such as GFS or ECMWF, along with official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration, will provide the next key refinements ahead of the overnight period.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 2?
26°C 47%
27°C 29%
25°C 23%
23°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 2, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
11%
24°C
10%
25°C
23%
26°C
47%
27°C
29%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 47%
27°C 29%
25°C 23%
23°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 2, 2026
22°C or below
$5 KL.
1%
23°C
$61 KL.
11%
24°C
$41 KL.
10%
25°C
$157 KL.
23%
26°C
$89 KL.
47%
27°C
$216 KL.
29%
28°C
$88 KL.
5%
29°C
$20 KL.
1%
30°C
$135 KL.
1%
31°C
$100 KL.
<1%
32°C or higher
$341 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent numerical weather prediction model consensus points to overnight lows in Shanghai on September 2, 2026, stabilizing in the 24–26°C range amid widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and periods of rain.** Multiple forecasts from sources including LUFT TIME, Worldmeteo, and Meteoprog indicate a minimum near 24–25°C, with persistent northeasterly flow and precipitation (some models project over 10–50 mm) limiting radiational cooling under overcast skies.
This setup aligns with the market’s strongest implied probabilities for 26°C (46.0%) and nearby bins at 25°C and 27°C, as traders aggregate real-time model outputs and historical analogs for early-September Shanghai conditions influenced by residual monsoon moisture and weak frontal activity. Updated runs from global models such as GFS or ECMWF, along with official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration, will provide the next key refinements ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,253Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent numerical weather prediction model consensus points to overnight lows in Shanghai on September 2, 2026, stabilizing in the 24–26°C range amid widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and periods of rain.** Multiple forecasts from sources including LUFT TIME, Worldmeteo, and Meteoprog indicate a minimum near 24–25°C, with persistent northeasterly flow and precipitation (some models project over 10–50 mm) limiting radiational cooling under overcast skies.
This setup aligns with the market’s strongest implied probabilities for 26°C (46.0%) and nearby bins at 25°C and 27°C, as traders aggregate real-time model outputs and historical analogs for early-September Shanghai conditions influenced by residual monsoon moisture and weak frontal activity. Updated runs from global models such as GFS or ECMWF, along with official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration, will provide the next key refinements ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,253Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Recent numerical weather prediction model consensus points to overnight lows in Shanghai on September 2, 2026, stabilizing in the 24–26°C range amid widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and periods of rain.** Multiple forecasts from sources including LUFT TIME, Worldmeteo, and Meteoprog indicate a minimum near 24–25°C, with persistent northeasterly flow and precipitation (some models project over 10–50 mm) limiting radiational cooling under overcast skies. This setup aligns with the market’s strongest implied probabilities for 26°C (46.0%) and nearby bins at 25°C and 27°C, as traders aggregate real-time model outputs and historical analogs for early-September Shanghai conditions influenced by residual monsoon moisture and weak frontal activity. Updated runs from global models such as GFS or ECMWF, along with official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration, will provide the next key refinements ahead of the overnight period.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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