**Trader consensus strongly favors a 24°C low for Shanghai on September 9, 2026, at 93.5% implied probability.** This reflects model consensus from sources such as GFS and local forecasts pointing to a minimum near 23–24°C (roughly 73–75°F) under northerly winds of 10–15 mph, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity around 70–80%. Recent days showed similar patterns with overnight lows in the low-to-mid 20s°C amid stable high pressure and minimal precipitation. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in cloud cover or wind shift that prevents radiative cooling, or a revision in official minimum readings from monitoring stations. Current data indicate low likelihood of dropping to 22°C or below.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 9?
24°C 94%
23°C 5.0%
22°C 2.8%
21°C <1%
$12,053 KL.
$12,053 KL.
Sep 9, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
5%
24°C
94%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 94%
23°C 5.0%
22°C 2.8%
21°C <1%
$12,053 KL.
$12,053 KL.
Sep 9, 2026
19°C or below
$231 KL.
<1%
20°C
$365 KL.
<1%
21°C
$516 KL.
<1%
22°C
$1,089 KL.
3%
23°C
$2,359 KL.
5%
24°C
$4,570 KL.
94%
25°C
$1,221 KL.
<1%
26°C
$347 KL.
<1%
27°C
$548 KL.
<1%
28°C
$411 KL.
<1%
29°C or higher
$396 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 24°C low for Shanghai on September 9, 2026, at 93.5% implied probability.** This reflects model consensus from sources such as GFS and local forecasts pointing to a minimum near 23–24°C (roughly 73–75°F) under northerly winds of 10–15 mph, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity around 70–80%. Recent days showed similar patterns with overnight lows in the low-to-mid 20s°C amid stable high pressure and minimal precipitation.
A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in cloud cover or wind shift that prevents radiative cooling, or a revision in official minimum readings from monitoring stations. Current data indicate low likelihood of dropping to 22°C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$12,053Ngày kết thúc
Sep 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 24°C low for Shanghai on September 9, 2026, at 93.5% implied probability.** This reflects model consensus from sources such as GFS and local forecasts pointing to a minimum near 23–24°C (roughly 73–75°F) under northerly winds of 10–15 mph, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity around 70–80%. Recent days showed similar patterns with overnight lows in the low-to-mid 20s°C amid stable high pressure and minimal precipitation.
A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in cloud cover or wind shift that prevents radiative cooling, or a revision in official minimum readings from monitoring stations. Current data indicate low likelihood of dropping to 22°C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$12,053Ngày kết thúc
Sep 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 24°C low for Shanghai on September 9, 2026, at 93.5% implied probability.** This reflects model consensus from sources such as GFS and local forecasts pointing to a minimum near 23–24°C (roughly 73–75°F) under northerly winds of 10–15 mph, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity around 70–80%. Recent days showed similar patterns with overnight lows in the low-to-mid 20s°C amid stable high pressure and minimal precipitation. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in cloud cover or wind shift that prevents radiative cooling, or a revision in official minimum readings from monitoring stations. Current data indicate low likelihood of dropping to 22°C or below.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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