**Trader consensus strongly favors a 27°C low for Shenzhen on September 14, 2026, reflecting observed overnight conditions and subtropical climatology.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and thunderstorm activity have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping minimum temperatures from falling below typical late-summer values. Forecasts from multiple sources consistently indicate an overnight low in the mid-20s Celsius (roughly 24–26°C), with some model runs and station observations aligning near or at 27°C amid light easterly winds and dew points close to the air temperature. Historical September baselines for Shenzhen show average lows around 24–26°C, and the absence of any significant cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling event supports the market-implied odds. Lower outcomes (22–26°C or below) carry smaller probabilities consistent with the range of forecast uncertainty and potential microsite variations, while temperatures above 27°C remain negligible given the current steering pattern and moisture. Official resolution will hinge on the verified daily minimum from the primary meteorological station, with any late adjustments to observational data or model consensus representing the main variables that could still shift positioning before final settlement.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 14?
27°C 99.5%
22°C 1.0%
23°C 1.0%
24°C 1.0%
$900 KL.
$900 KL.
Sep 14, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
27°C 99.5%
22°C 1.0%
23°C 1.0%
24°C 1.0%
$900 KL.
$900 KL.
Sep 14, 2026
21°C or below
$0 KL.
No
22°C
$0 KL.
No
23°C
$20 KL.
No
24°C
$122 KL.
No
25°C
$50 KL.
No
26°C
$185 KL.
No
27°C
$412 KL.
Yes
28°C
$0 KL.
No
29°C
$110 KL.
No
30°C
$0 KL.
No
31°C or higher
$0 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 27°C low for Shenzhen on September 14, 2026, reflecting observed overnight conditions and subtropical climatology.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and thunderstorm activity have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping minimum temperatures from falling below typical late-summer values. Forecasts from multiple sources consistently indicate an overnight low in the mid-20s Celsius (roughly 24–26°C), with some model runs and station observations aligning near or at 27°C amid light easterly winds and dew points close to the air temperature.
Historical September baselines for Shenzhen show average lows around 24–26°C, and the absence of any significant cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling event supports the market-implied odds. Lower outcomes (22–26°C or below) carry smaller probabilities consistent with the range of forecast uncertainty and potential microsite variations, while temperatures above 27°C remain negligible given the current steering pattern and moisture. Official resolution will hinge on the verified daily minimum from the primary meteorological station, with any late adjustments to observational data or model consensus representing the main variables that could still shift positioning before final settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$900Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 27°C low for Shenzhen on September 14, 2026, reflecting observed overnight conditions and subtropical climatology.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and thunderstorm activity have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping minimum temperatures from falling below typical late-summer values. Forecasts from multiple sources consistently indicate an overnight low in the mid-20s Celsius (roughly 24–26°C), with some model runs and station observations aligning near or at 27°C amid light easterly winds and dew points close to the air temperature.
Historical September baselines for Shenzhen show average lows around 24–26°C, and the absence of any significant cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling event supports the market-implied odds. Lower outcomes (22–26°C or below) carry smaller probabilities consistent with the range of forecast uncertainty and potential microsite variations, while temperatures above 27°C remain negligible given the current steering pattern and moisture. Official resolution will hinge on the verified daily minimum from the primary meteorological station, with any late adjustments to observational data or model consensus representing the main variables that could still shift positioning before final settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$900Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
**Trader consensus strongly favors a 27°C low for Shenzhen on September 14, 2026, reflecting observed overnight conditions and subtropical climatology.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and thunderstorm activity have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping minimum temperatures from falling below typical late-summer values. Forecasts from multiple sources consistently indicate an overnight low in the mid-20s Celsius (roughly 24–26°C), with some model runs and station observations aligning near or at 27°C amid light easterly winds and dew points close to the air temperature. Historical September baselines for Shenzhen show average lows around 24–26°C, and the absence of any significant cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling event supports the market-implied odds. Lower outcomes (22–26°C or below) carry smaller probabilities consistent with the range of forecast uncertainty and potential microsite variations, while temperatures above 27°C remain negligible given the current steering pattern and moisture. Official resolution will hinge on the verified daily minimum from the primary meteorological station, with any late adjustments to observational data or model consensus representing the main variables that could still shift positioning before final settlement.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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