Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on September 3 indicate overnight lows clustered between 23–25°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions suppress radiative cooling typical of clearer subtropical nights, with northwest winds and dew points around 22–23°C limiting further drops. Model consensus from sources like the Met Office and local agencies shows minimal day-to-day variability in this range, reflecting stable early-September monsoon patterns without strong cold fronts or typhoon influences. Trader-implied odds around these thresholds capture the narrow uncertainty in exact minimums driven by localized cloud timing and urban heat effects, with new hourly model runs or official updates likely to refine the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 3?
21°C 49%
28°C 49%
24°C 31%
23°C 27%
20°C or below
6%
21°C
49%
22°C
23%
23°C
27%
24°C
31%
25°C
27%
26°C
26%
27°C
25%
28°C
49%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
24%
21°C 49%
28°C 49%
24°C 31%
23°C 27%
20°C or below
6%
21°C
49%
22°C
23%
23°C
27%
24°C
31%
25°C
27%
26°C
26%
27°C
25%
28°C
49%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
24%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on September 3 indicate overnight lows clustered between 23–25°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions suppress radiative cooling typical of clearer subtropical nights, with northwest winds and dew points around 22–23°C limiting further drops. Model consensus from sources like the Met Office and local agencies shows minimal day-to-day variability in this range, reflecting stable early-September monsoon patterns without strong cold fronts or typhoon influences. Trader-implied odds around these thresholds capture the narrow uncertainty in exact minimums driven by localized cloud timing and urban heat effects, with new hourly model runs or official updates likely to refine the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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