Forecast models for Shenzhen indicate mostly cloudy skies and light northwest winds on September 4, suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s °C. High humidity levels near 80% and dew points around 22–24 °C further limit overnight drops by reducing the temperature gradient to the surface. Recent regional moisture from earlier thunderstorm activity and residual circulation has maintained this stable, humid subtropical pattern without a strong cold advection event. Ensemble spreads in guidance reflect minor uncertainties in cloud timing and urban heat effects, keeping trader-implied odds closely aligned across 21–27 °C outcomes while assigning lower weight to extremes below 20 °C or at 28 °C and above. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact minimum ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 4?
23°C 89%
21°C 88%
22°C 88%
25°C 88%
20°C or below
69%
21°C
88%
22°C
88%
23°C
89%
24°C
87%
25°C
88%
26°C
87%
27°C
88%
28°C
57%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
59%
23°C 89%
21°C 88%
22°C 88%
25°C 88%
20°C or below
69%
21°C
88%
22°C
88%
23°C
89%
24°C
87%
25°C
88%
26°C
87%
27°C
88%
28°C
57%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Shenzhen indicate mostly cloudy skies and light northwest winds on September 4, suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s °C. High humidity levels near 80% and dew points around 22–24 °C further limit overnight drops by reducing the temperature gradient to the surface. Recent regional moisture from earlier thunderstorm activity and residual circulation has maintained this stable, humid subtropical pattern without a strong cold advection event. Ensemble spreads in guidance reflect minor uncertainties in cloud timing and urban heat effects, keeping trader-implied odds closely aligned across 21–27 °C outcomes while assigning lower weight to extremes below 20 °C or at 28 °C and above. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact minimum ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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