Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Central Weather Administration guidance, point to overnight lows in Taipei on September 5 clustering near 24–26°C amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northwest winds of 5–10 km/h. High humidity near 85–95% and ongoing precipitation from the prior day’s thunderstorms limit radiative cooling after sunset, supporting these moderate minima rather than sharper drops. Model consensus shows limited spread due to stable steering patterns and urban heat effects, which helps explain tight market-implied probabilities around 25–26°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty band between 25°C and 27°C outcomes against historical September baselines near 23°C, with fresh model runs or official briefings likely to refine resolution thresholds in the final hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Taipei on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Taipei on September 5?
26°C 50%
21°C 49%
22°C 49%
28°C 49%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 5, 2026
20°C or below
16%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
43%
24°C
27%
25°C
29%
26°C
38%
27°C
26%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C or higher
16%
26°C 50%
21°C 49%
22°C 49%
28°C 49%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 5, 2026
20°C or below
$0 KL.
16%
21°C
$0 KL.
49%
22°C
$0 KL.
49%
23°C
$3 KL.
43%
24°C
$0 KL.
27%
25°C
$0 KL.
29%
26°C
$5 KL.
38%
27°C
$10 KL.
26%
28°C
$0 KL.
49%
29°C
$0 KL.
49%
30°C or higher
$0 KL.
16%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Central Weather Administration guidance, point to overnight lows in Taipei on September 5 clustering near 24–26°C amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northwest winds of 5–10 km/h. High humidity near 85–95% and ongoing precipitation from the prior day’s thunderstorms limit radiative cooling after sunset, supporting these moderate minima rather than sharper drops. Model consensus shows limited spread due to stable steering patterns and urban heat effects, which helps explain tight market-implied probabilities around 25–26°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty band between 25°C and 27°C outcomes against historical September baselines near 23°C, with fresh model runs or official briefings likely to refine resolution thresholds in the final hours.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$18Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Central Weather Administration guidance, point to overnight lows in Taipei on September 5 clustering near 24–26°C amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northwest winds of 5–10 km/h. High humidity near 85–95% and ongoing precipitation from the prior day’s thunderstorms limit radiative cooling after sunset, supporting these moderate minima rather than sharper drops. Model consensus shows limited spread due to stable steering patterns and urban heat effects, which helps explain tight market-implied probabilities around 25–26°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty band between 25°C and 27°C outcomes against historical September baselines near 23°C, with fresh model runs or official briefings likely to refine resolution thresholds in the final hours.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$18Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Central Weather Administration guidance, point to overnight lows in Taipei on September 5 clustering near 24–26°C amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northwest winds of 5–10 km/h. High humidity near 85–95% and ongoing precipitation from the prior day’s thunderstorms limit radiative cooling after sunset, supporting these moderate minima rather than sharper drops. Model consensus shows limited spread due to stable steering patterns and urban heat effects, which helps explain tight market-implied probabilities around 25–26°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty band between 25°C and 27°C outcomes against historical September baselines near 23°C, with fresh model runs or official briefings likely to refine resolution thresholds in the final hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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