Official observations from Tel Aviv stations on September 20 recorded an overnight minimum near 23–24°C under mostly clear skies and light southeasterly winds, aligning with model guidance that projected radiative cooling to this range after daytime highs around 30°C. This outcome sits squarely within the September climatological baseline of 22–25°C lows for the coastal plain, with no significant synoptic shifts such as stronger onshore flow or increased cloud cover to alter the reading. Trader consensus at 83.2% for exactly 23°C reflects high confidence in the final Israel Meteorological Service verification, while lower probabilities for 22°C or below capture residual uncertainty from micro-site variations and rounding conventions in official data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 20?
23°C 97.2%
18°C or below 34%
21°C 33%
20°C 20%
$6,619 KL.
$6,619 KL.
18°C or below
34%
19°C
18%
20°C
20%
21°C
33%
22°C
-
23°C
84%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 97.2%
18°C or below 34%
21°C 33%
20°C 20%
$6,619 KL.
$6,619 KL.
18°C or below
34%
19°C
18%
20°C
20%
21°C
33%
22°C
-
23°C
84%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from Tel Aviv stations on September 20 recorded an overnight minimum near 23–24°C under mostly clear skies and light southeasterly winds, aligning with model guidance that projected radiative cooling to this range after daytime highs around 30°C. This outcome sits squarely within the September climatological baseline of 22–25°C lows for the coastal plain, with no significant synoptic shifts such as stronger onshore flow or increased cloud cover to alter the reading. Trader consensus at 83.2% for exactly 23°C reflects high confidence in the final Israel Meteorological Service verification, while lower probabilities for 22°C or below capture residual uncertainty from micro-site variations and rounding conventions in official data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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