Recent global and regional forecast models, including GFS and Israeli Meteorological Service guidance, point to mostly clear skies and moderate northwest winds over Tel Aviv on September 20, supporting daytime highs near 29–30°C. These conditions follow a period of variable showers and westerly flow that has kept recent maxima around 30°C, with limited cloud cover expected to allow typical late-September insolation without significant cooling from sea breezes. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, though local urban effects and exact timing of peak heating introduce small uncertainty around the daily maximum. Historical climatology for mid-September shows average highs of 28–30°C, aligning with the market-implied concentration on 30–32°C outcomes. Updated model runs ahead of the date will provide the next key data points for traders.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 20?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 20?
31°C 51%
30°C 28%
32°C 15%
29°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 20, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
13%
30°C
28%
31°C
51%
32°C
15%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 51%
30°C 28%
32°C 15%
29°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 20, 2026
27°C or below
$41 KL.
<1%
28°C
$14 KL.
1%
29°C
$0 KL.
13%
30°C
$43 KL.
28%
31°C
$81 KL.
51%
32°C
$28 KL.
15%
33°C
$0 KL.
5%
34°C
$0 KL.
2%
35°C
$12 KL.
1%
36°C
$402 KL.
<1%
37°C or higher
$202 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent global and regional forecast models, including GFS and Israeli Meteorological Service guidance, point to mostly clear skies and moderate northwest winds over Tel Aviv on September 20, supporting daytime highs near 29–30°C. These conditions follow a period of variable showers and westerly flow that has kept recent maxima around 30°C, with limited cloud cover expected to allow typical late-September insolation without significant cooling from sea breezes. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, though local urban effects and exact timing of peak heating introduce small uncertainty around the daily maximum. Historical climatology for mid-September shows average highs of 28–30°C, aligning with the market-implied concentration on 30–32°C outcomes. Updated model runs ahead of the date will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$823Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent global and regional forecast models, including GFS and Israeli Meteorological Service guidance, point to mostly clear skies and moderate northwest winds over Tel Aviv on September 20, supporting daytime highs near 29–30°C. These conditions follow a period of variable showers and westerly flow that has kept recent maxima around 30°C, with limited cloud cover expected to allow typical late-September insolation without significant cooling from sea breezes. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, though local urban effects and exact timing of peak heating introduce small uncertainty around the daily maximum. Historical climatology for mid-September shows average highs of 28–30°C, aligning with the market-implied concentration on 30–32°C outcomes. Updated model runs ahead of the date will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$823Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent global and regional forecast models, including GFS and Israeli Meteorological Service guidance, point to mostly clear skies and moderate northwest winds over Tel Aviv on September 20, supporting daytime highs near 29–30°C. These conditions follow a period of variable showers and westerly flow that has kept recent maxima around 30°C, with limited cloud cover expected to allow typical late-September insolation without significant cooling from sea breezes. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, though local urban effects and exact timing of peak heating introduce small uncertainty around the daily maximum. Historical climatology for mid-September shows average highs of 28–30°C, aligning with the market-implied concentration on 30–32°C outcomes. Updated model runs ahead of the date will provide the next key data points for traders.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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