Recent polling aggregates place National and Labour as the clear frontrunners in party vote ahead of the November 7 election, leaving New Zealand First, the Greens, and ACT competing for third place in seats under the MMP system. New Zealand First holds the highest implied probability due to consistent double-digit support, recent immigration policy announcements, and its track record of outperforming late-campaign polls. The Greens have seen notable recent gains in several surveys, narrowing the gap and increasing their prospects for a strong third-place finish. ACT remains competitive near the 5% threshold but trails in current trader consensus, while smaller parties like Te Pāti Māori and TOP show limited paths to third. These dynamics reflect the wisdom of crowds assessing the final weeks of campaigning and potential volatility in minor-party turnout.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNew Zealand Election: 3rd Place
New Zealand Election: 3rd Place
New Zealand First Party 50%
Green Party 40%
ACT New Zealand 3.6%
National Party 3.0%
$15,189 KL.
$15,189 KL.
Nov 6, 2026
New Zealand First Party
50%
Green Party
40%
ACT New Zealand
4%
National Party
3%
Te Pāti Māori
<1%
Labour Party
<1%
New Zealand First Party 50%
Green Party 40%
ACT New Zealand 3.6%
National Party 3.0%
$15,189 KL.
$15,189 KL.
Nov 6, 2026
New Zealand First Party
$5,447 KL.
50%
Green Party
$6,195 KL.
40%
ACT New Zealand
$862 KL.
4%
National Party
$564 KL.
3%
Te Pāti Māori
$915 KL.
<1%
Labour Party
$1,206 KL.
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling aggregates place National and Labour as the clear frontrunners in party vote ahead of the November 7 election, leaving New Zealand First, the Greens, and ACT competing for third place in seats under the MMP system. New Zealand First holds the highest implied probability due to consistent double-digit support, recent immigration policy announcements, and its track record of outperforming late-campaign polls. The Greens have seen notable recent gains in several surveys, narrowing the gap and increasing their prospects for a strong third-place finish. ACT remains competitive near the 5% threshold but trails in current trader consensus, while smaller parties like Te Pāti Māori and TOP show limited paths to third. These dynamics reflect the wisdom of crowds assessing the final weeks of campaigning and potential volatility in minor-party turnout.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Thị trường mở: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Khối lượng
$15,189Ngày kết thúc
Nov 7, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling aggregates place National and Labour as the clear frontrunners in party vote ahead of the November 7 election, leaving New Zealand First, the Greens, and ACT competing for third place in seats under the MMP system. New Zealand First holds the highest implied probability due to consistent double-digit support, recent immigration policy announcements, and its track record of outperforming late-campaign polls. The Greens have seen notable recent gains in several surveys, narrowing the gap and increasing their prospects for a strong third-place finish. ACT remains competitive near the 5% threshold but trails in current trader consensus, while smaller parties like Te Pāti Māori and TOP show limited paths to third. These dynamics reflect the wisdom of crowds assessing the final weeks of campaigning and potential volatility in minor-party turnout.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Khối lượng
$15,189Ngày kết thúc
Nov 7, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates place National and Labour as the clear frontrunners in party vote ahead of the November 7 election, leaving New Zealand First, the Greens, and ACT competing for third place in seats under the MMP system. New Zealand First holds the highest implied probability due to consistent double-digit support, recent immigration policy announcements, and its track record of outperforming late-campaign polls. The Greens have seen notable recent gains in several surveys, narrowing the gap and increasing their prospects for a strong third-place finish. ACT remains competitive near the 5% threshold but trails in current trader consensus, while smaller parties like Te Pāti Māori and TOP show limited paths to third. These dynamics reflect the wisdom of crowds assessing the final weeks of campaigning and potential volatility in minor-party turnout.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLiên quan
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