Recent polling averages place Labour and National in a tight contest for first and second, both below 30 percent, while the Green Party and New Zealand First hover between 12 and 14 percent, keeping their bids for third place nearly even. Trader sentiment reflects this proximity, with minor-party gains driven by voter dissatisfaction shown in multiple September surveys. New Zealand First's recent immigration policy announcements and the Greens' steady positioning on environmental and social issues have sustained their momentum. With the November 7 election seven weeks away, further shifts in turnout among swing voters or late campaign developments could widen the gap between these two parties ahead of the mixed-member proportional seat allocation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNew Zealand Election: 3rd Place
New Zealand Election: 3rd Place
New Zealand First Party 46%
Green Party 45%
ACT New Zealand 6.3%
National Party 4.0%
$15,387 KL.
$15,387 KL.
Nov 6, 2026
New Zealand First Party
46%
Green Party
45%
ACT New Zealand
6%
National Party
4%
Labour Party
<1%
Te Pāti Māori
<1%
New Zealand First Party 46%
Green Party 45%
ACT New Zealand 6.3%
National Party 4.0%
$15,387 KL.
$15,387 KL.
Nov 6, 2026
New Zealand First Party
$5,447 KL.
46%
Green Party
$6,393 KL.
45%
ACT New Zealand
$862 KL.
6%
National Party
$564 KL.
4%
Labour Party
$1,206 KL.
<1%
Te Pāti Māori
$915 KL.
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling averages place Labour and National in a tight contest for first and second, both below 30 percent, while the Green Party and New Zealand First hover between 12 and 14 percent, keeping their bids for third place nearly even. Trader sentiment reflects this proximity, with minor-party gains driven by voter dissatisfaction shown in multiple September surveys. New Zealand First's recent immigration policy announcements and the Greens' steady positioning on environmental and social issues have sustained their momentum. With the November 7 election seven weeks away, further shifts in turnout among swing voters or late campaign developments could widen the gap between these two parties ahead of the mixed-member proportional seat allocation.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Thị trường mở: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Khối lượng
$15,387Ngày kết thúc
Nov 7, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling averages place Labour and National in a tight contest for first and second, both below 30 percent, while the Green Party and New Zealand First hover between 12 and 14 percent, keeping their bids for third place nearly even. Trader sentiment reflects this proximity, with minor-party gains driven by voter dissatisfaction shown in multiple September surveys. New Zealand First's recent immigration policy announcements and the Greens' steady positioning on environmental and social issues have sustained their momentum. With the November 7 election seven weeks away, further shifts in turnout among swing voters or late campaign developments could widen the gap between these two parties ahead of the mixed-member proportional seat allocation.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Khối lượng
$15,387Ngày kết thúc
Nov 7, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Labour and National in a tight contest for first and second, both below 30 percent, while the Green Party and New Zealand First hover between 12 and 14 percent, keeping their bids for third place nearly even. Trader sentiment reflects this proximity, with minor-party gains driven by voter dissatisfaction shown in multiple September surveys. New Zealand First's recent immigration policy announcements and the Greens' steady positioning on environmental and social issues have sustained their momentum. With the November 7 election seven weeks away, further shifts in turnout among swing voters or late campaign developments could widen the gap between these two parties ahead of the mixed-member proportional seat allocation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLiên quan
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
51%
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
56%
Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
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