In Oregon's Republican US Senate primary on May 19, trader consensus narrowly favors state Senator David Brock Smith at 45% over Jo Rae Perkins at 42%, reflecting Smith's March 3 campaign launch emphasizing legislative work on public safety, homelessness, and affordability against Perkins' established base from her 2020 and 2022 nominations. The tight matchup persists amid a fragmented field, with no recent polls, major endorsements, or fundraising disclosures to shift dynamics in the past 30 days—Smith's active trail presence and Port Orford roots balance Perkins' prior statewide exposure. Separation could arise from party leader backing, debate performances, or voter pamphlet impacts as early voting nears, underscoring high uncertainty in this contested primary to challenge incumbent Jeff Merkley.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOregon Republican Senate Primary Winner
Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner
David Brock Smith 44.3%
Jo Rae Perkins 42%
Joe Johnson 3.8%
David Burch 2.9%
$73,196 KL.
$73,196 KL.
David Brock Smith
44%
Jo Rae Perkins
42%
Joe Johnson
4%
David Burch
3%
Tim Skelton
1%
Russell McAlmond
1%
Brent Barker
<1%
Deborah C. Brown
<1%
Douglas T. Muck Jr.
<1%
David Brock Smith 44.3%
Jo Rae Perkins 42%
Joe Johnson 3.8%
David Burch 2.9%
$73,196 KL.
$73,196 KL.
David Brock Smith
44%
Jo Rae Perkins
42%
Joe Johnson
4%
David Burch
3%
Tim Skelton
1%
Russell McAlmond
1%
Brent Barker
<1%
Deborah C. Brown
<1%
Douglas T. Muck Jr.
<1%
If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Thị trường mở: Dec 15, 2025, 8:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Oregon's Republican US Senate primary on May 19, trader consensus narrowly favors state Senator David Brock Smith at 45% over Jo Rae Perkins at 42%, reflecting Smith's March 3 campaign launch emphasizing legislative work on public safety, homelessness, and affordability against Perkins' established base from her 2020 and 2022 nominations. The tight matchup persists amid a fragmented field, with no recent polls, major endorsements, or fundraising disclosures to shift dynamics in the past 30 days—Smith's active trail presence and Port Orford roots balance Perkins' prior statewide exposure. Separation could arise from party leader backing, debate performances, or voter pamphlet impacts as early voting nears, underscoring high uncertainty in this contested primary to challenge incumbent Jeff Merkley.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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