**Morena maintains a structural edge in Sonora’s 2027 gubernatorial race, reflected in consistent party identification leads of roughly 45-50% across recent surveys, while the internal contest for its nomination remains closely contested.** Lorenia Valles Sampedro and Javier Lamarque Cano trade narrow advantages in Morena preference polls conducted through September 2026, with Valles frequently showing stronger head-to-head numbers against opposition figures. Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas of Movimiento Ciudadano and Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez of the PAN register as the most visible challengers, though their parties trail significantly in overall voter intention. The market’s tight pricing among top names stems from the election remaining more than nine months away, unresolved internal processes, and the absence of finalized opposition coalitions. Upcoming candidate selection outcomes, fresh statewide polling, or shifts in security and economic sentiment could widen gaps before the June 2027 vote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLorenia Valles Sampedro 27%
Javier Lamarque Cano 26%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas 20.2%
Célida Teresa López Cárdenas 5.7%
$38,175 KL.
$38,175 KL.
Lorenia Valles Sampedro
27%
Javier Lamarque Cano
26%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas
20%
Célida Teresa López Cárdenas
6%
Natalia Rivera Grijalva
3%
Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez
3%
Ernesto Gándara Camou
2%
Froylán Gámez Gamboa
1%
Manuel Scott Sánchez
1%
Lilly Téllez García
1%
Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez
15%
Omar del Valle Colosio
<1%
Rogelio Díaz Brown
<1%
Víctor Hugo Celaya
<1%
Guadalupe María Soto
<1%
Damián Zepeda Vidales
<1%
Patricia Mercado Castro
<1%
María Dolores del Río Sánchez
<1%
Heriberto Aguilar Castillo
<1%
Lorenia Valles Sampedro 27%
Javier Lamarque Cano 26%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas 20.2%
Célida Teresa López Cárdenas 5.7%
$38,175 KL.
$38,175 KL.
Lorenia Valles Sampedro
27%
Javier Lamarque Cano
26%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas
20%
Célida Teresa López Cárdenas
6%
Natalia Rivera Grijalva
3%
Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez
3%
Ernesto Gándara Camou
2%
Froylán Gámez Gamboa
1%
Manuel Scott Sánchez
1%
Lilly Téllez García
1%
Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez
15%
Omar del Valle Colosio
<1%
Rogelio Díaz Brown
<1%
Víctor Hugo Celaya
<1%
Guadalupe María Soto
<1%
Damián Zepeda Vidales
<1%
Patricia Mercado Castro
<1%
María Dolores del Río Sánchez
<1%
Heriberto Aguilar Castillo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Thị trường mở: Aug 5, 2026, 6:49 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Morena maintains a structural edge in Sonora’s 2027 gubernatorial race, reflected in consistent party identification leads of roughly 45-50% across recent surveys, while the internal contest for its nomination remains closely contested.** Lorenia Valles Sampedro and Javier Lamarque Cano trade narrow advantages in Morena preference polls conducted through September 2026, with Valles frequently showing stronger head-to-head numbers against opposition figures. Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas of Movimiento Ciudadano and Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez of the PAN register as the most visible challengers, though their parties trail significantly in overall voter intention. The market’s tight pricing among top names stems from the election remaining more than nine months away, unresolved internal processes, and the absence of finalized opposition coalitions. Upcoming candidate selection outcomes, fresh statewide polling, or shifts in security and economic sentiment could widen gaps before the June 2027 vote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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