Morena maintains a structural edge in Sonora party identification ahead of the 2027 gubernatorial election, yet the market remains tightly contested because the leading coalition's nominee is still unresolved. Recent surveys through September show Lorenia Valles Sampedro consistently ahead or competitive in Morena preference and head-to-head matchups against Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas of Movimiento Ciudadano and Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez of the PAN, while Javier Lamarque Cano trails closely in internal polling. Internal party tensions, including signals from Governor Alfonso Durazo and national leadership, alongside opposition positioning by figures such as Lilly Téllez García, keep probabilities fluid. Any resolution of the Morena coordination process or shifts in polling among undecided voters could widen gaps before formal candidacies.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLorenia Valles Sampedro 28%
Javier Lamarque Cano 20%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas 19.9%
Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez 16.4%
$38,157 KL.
$38,157 KL.
Lorenia Valles Sampedro
28%
Javier Lamarque Cano
20%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas
20%
Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez
16%
Célida Teresa López Cárdenas
6%
Ernesto Gándara Camou
4%
Natalia Rivera Grijalva
3%
Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez
3%
Froylán Gámez Gamboa
1%
Lilly Téllez García
1%
Omar del Valle Colosio
<1%
Rogelio Díaz Brown
<1%
Víctor Hugo Celaya
<1%
Guadalupe María Soto
<1%
Patricia Mercado Castro
<1%
María Dolores del Río Sánchez
<1%
Heriberto Aguilar Castillo
<1%
Damián Zepeda Vidales
<1%
Manuel Scott Sánchez
<1%
Lorenia Valles Sampedro 28%
Javier Lamarque Cano 20%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas 19.9%
Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez 16.4%
$38,157 KL.
$38,157 KL.
Lorenia Valles Sampedro
28%
Javier Lamarque Cano
20%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas
20%
Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez
16%
Célida Teresa López Cárdenas
6%
Ernesto Gándara Camou
4%
Natalia Rivera Grijalva
3%
Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez
3%
Froylán Gámez Gamboa
1%
Lilly Téllez García
1%
Omar del Valle Colosio
<1%
Rogelio Díaz Brown
<1%
Víctor Hugo Celaya
<1%
Guadalupe María Soto
<1%
Patricia Mercado Castro
<1%
María Dolores del Río Sánchez
<1%
Heriberto Aguilar Castillo
<1%
Damián Zepeda Vidales
<1%
Manuel Scott Sánchez
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Thị trường mở: Aug 5, 2026, 6:49 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Morena maintains a structural edge in Sonora party identification ahead of the 2027 gubernatorial election, yet the market remains tightly contested because the leading coalition's nominee is still unresolved. Recent surveys through September show Lorenia Valles Sampedro consistently ahead or competitive in Morena preference and head-to-head matchups against Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas of Movimiento Ciudadano and Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez of the PAN, while Javier Lamarque Cano trails closely in internal polling. Internal party tensions, including signals from Governor Alfonso Durazo and national leadership, alongside opposition positioning by figures such as Lilly Téllez García, keep probabilities fluid. Any resolution of the Morena coordination process or shifts in polling among undecided voters could widen gaps before formal candidacies.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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