US diplomatic efforts under the current administration continue to prioritize ceasefires and security arrangements without formal recognition of Russian sovereignty over any Ukrainian territory, consistent with longstanding policy against endorsing forcible annexations. Recent envoy visits to Moscow and Kyiv have explored de facto freezes along the line of contact and sanctions relief, yet official statements and Ukrainian positions reject de jure concessions on Crimea or other regions, while congressional restrictions limit executive flexibility. Trader consensus at 96% for "No" reflects this sustained stance through mid-2026 negotiations and the absence of any announced shift. A realistic change before 2027 would require an unexpected breakthrough in trilateral talks or a major reversal in US priorities, though structural and alliance factors make such an outcome improbable.