Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum's government has intensified anti-cartel operations amid U.S. pressure, highlighted by the February 22 Mexican military raid that killed Jalisco New Generation Cartel leader Nemesio "El Mencho" Oseguera Cervantes, reportedly with U.S. intelligence support, followed by a 14-32% drop in murders and extradition of over 90 cartel figures to the U.S. President Trump's March 7 announcement of a multilateral "Shield of the Americas" military coalition with Latin American partners emphasizes joint action against cartels designated as terrorist organizations, reducing calls for unilateral U.S. strikes on Mexican soil. No U.S. drone, missile, or air strikes impacting Mexican territory have occurred despite early-year FAA advisories and rhetoric from Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth. Traders monitor ongoing diplomacy, extraditions, and coalition exercises for escalation risks before the market's December 31 resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$3,283,213 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
31 tháng 12
22%
$3,283,213 KL.
31 tháng 12
$554,751 KL.
22%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Mexico is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum's government has intensified anti-cartel operations amid U.S. pressure, highlighted by the February 22 Mexican military raid that killed Jalisco New Generation Cartel leader Nemesio "El Mencho" Oseguera Cervantes, reportedly with U.S. intelligence support, followed by a 14-32% drop in murders and extradition of over 90 cartel figures to the U.S. President Trump's March 7 announcement of a multilateral "Shield of the Americas" military coalition with Latin American partners emphasizes joint action against cartels designated as terrorist organizations, reducing calls for unilateral U.S. strikes on Mexican soil. No U.S. drone, missile, or air strikes impacting Mexican territory have occurred despite early-year FAA advisories and rhetoric from Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth. Traders monitor ongoing diplomacy, extraditions, and coalition exercises for escalation risks before the market's December 31 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Mexico is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Thị trường mở: Jan 4, 2026, 2:52 PM ET
Khối lượng
$3,283,213Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 4, 2026, 2:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Mexico is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum's government has intensified anti-cartel operations amid U.S. pressure, highlighted by the February 22 Mexican military raid that killed Jalisco New Generation Cartel leader Nemesio "El Mencho" Oseguera Cervantes, reportedly with U.S. intelligence support, followed by a 14-32% drop in murders and extradition of over 90 cartel figures to the U.S. President Trump's March 7 announcement of a multilateral "Shield of the Americas" military coalition with Latin American partners emphasizes joint action against cartels designated as terrorist organizations, reducing calls for unilateral U.S. strikes on Mexican soil. No U.S. drone, missile, or air strikes impacting Mexican territory have occurred despite early-year FAA advisories and rhetoric from Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth. Traders monitor ongoing diplomacy, extraditions, and coalition exercises for escalation risks before the market's December 31 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Mexico is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Khối lượng
$3,283,213Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 4, 2026, 2:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum's government has intensified anti-cartel operations amid U.S. pressure, highlighted by the February 22 Mexican military raid that killed Jalisco New Generation Cartel leader Nemesio "El Mencho" Oseguera Cervantes, reportedly with U.S. intelligence support, followed by a 14-32% drop in murders and extradition of over 90 cartel figures to the U.S. President Trump's March 7 announcement of a multilateral "Shield of the Americas" military coalition with Latin American partners emphasizes joint action against cartels designated as terrorist organizations, reducing calls for unilateral U.S. strikes on Mexican soil. No U.S. drone, missile, or air strikes impacting Mexican territory have occurred despite early-year FAA advisories and rhetoric from Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth. Traders monitor ongoing diplomacy, extraditions, and coalition exercises for escalation risks before the market's December 31 resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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