Greenland’s March 2025 parliamentary election produced a government led by the Demokraatit party, which favors a gradual path to self-determination rather than an immediate referendum. Four of five parties in the Inatsisartut currently oppose scheduling an independence vote during the present term, citing the need to manage external security pressures and secure economic partnerships. Recent EU investment pledges and ongoing trilateral talks with Denmark and the United States have reinforced this cautious stance, directing attention toward infrastructure, resource development, and defense cooperation instead of constitutional change. Trader consensus reflects these institutional and electoral realities. A late parliamentary reversal, major diplomatic rupture, or sustained public mobilization could still reopen the possibility of a 2026 ballot.