A US-brokered 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon took effect on April 17, following direct conversations between President Trump, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, and Lebanese President Joseph Aoun, raising prospects for historic leader-level diplomacy after decades without contact. Israeli officials, including a security cabinet minister, claimed Netanyahu would speak by phone with Aoun on April 16, but Lebanese sources rejected imminent direct talks absent Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon and Hezbollah disarmament commitments. Hezbollah has threatened Aoun over potential engagement, while Trump invited both leaders to the White House soon, leaving trader consensus hinging on fragile truce compliance and escalation risks before the market deadline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMỚI
Apr 30, 2026
April 17
1%
April 30
28%
$3,372 KL.
April 17
$1,118 KL.
1%
April 30
$2,254 KL.
28%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.A US-brokered 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon took effect on April 17, following direct conversations between President Trump, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, and Lebanese President Joseph Aoun, raising prospects for historic leader-level diplomacy after decades without contact. Israeli officials, including a security cabinet minister, claimed Netanyahu would speak by phone with Aoun on April 16, but Lebanese sources rejected imminent direct talks absent Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon and Hezbollah disarmament commitments. Hezbollah has threatened Aoun over potential engagement, while Trump invited both leaders to the White House soon, leaving trader consensus hinging on fragile truce compliance and escalation risks before the market deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Apr 16, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
Khối lượng
$3,372Ngày kết thúc
Apr 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 16, 2026, 7:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.A US-brokered 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon took effect on April 17, following direct conversations between President Trump, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, and Lebanese President Joseph Aoun, raising prospects for historic leader-level diplomacy after decades without contact. Israeli officials, including a security cabinet minister, claimed Netanyahu would speak by phone with Aoun on April 16, but Lebanese sources rejected imminent direct talks absent Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon and Hezbollah disarmament commitments. Hezbollah has threatened Aoun over potential engagement, while Trump invited both leaders to the White House soon, leaving trader consensus hinging on fragile truce compliance and escalation risks before the market deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$3,372Ngày kết thúc
Apr 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 16, 2026, 7:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A US-brokered 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon took effect on April 17, following direct conversations between President Trump, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, and Lebanese President Joseph Aoun, raising prospects for historic leader-level diplomacy after decades without contact. Israeli officials, including a security cabinet minister, claimed Netanyahu would speak by phone with Aoun on April 16, but Lebanese sources rejected imminent direct talks absent Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon and Hezbollah disarmament commitments. Hezbollah has threatened Aoun over potential engagement, while Trump invited both leaders to the White House soon, leaving trader consensus hinging on fragile truce compliance and escalation risks before the market deadline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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