Arkansas's strong Republican lean, driven by consistent statewide voting patterns and the party's control of key institutions, underpins the dominant Republican position in the 2026 governor race. The incumbent's established record and high name recognition further consolidate trader consensus around continued Republican success. Historical base rates in similar Southern states show limited Democratic breakthroughs without major shifts in turnout or candidate appeal. Scenarios that could alter outcomes include a significant scandal affecting the frontrunner, an unusually strong Democratic nominee drawing crossover support, or broader national political realignments influencing local turnout in the general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
Republican
95%
Democrat
2%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
Republican
$5,965 交易量
95%
Democrat
$1,554 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Arkansas's strong Republican lean, driven by consistent statewide voting patterns and the party's control of key institutions, underpins the dominant Republican position in the 2026 governor race. The incumbent's established record and high name recognition further consolidate trader consensus around continued Republican success. Historical base rates in similar Southern states show limited Democratic breakthroughs without major shifts in turnout or candidate appeal. Scenarios that could alter outcomes include a significant scandal affecting the frontrunner, an unusually strong Democratic nominee drawing crossover support, or broader national political realignments influencing local turnout in the general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
交易量
$7,519結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Arkansas's strong Republican lean, driven by consistent statewide voting patterns and the party's control of key institutions, underpins the dominant Republican position in the 2026 governor race. The incumbent's established record and high name recognition further consolidate trader consensus around continued Republican success. Historical base rates in similar Southern states show limited Democratic breakthroughs without major shifts in turnout or candidate appeal. Scenarios that could alter outcomes include a significant scandal affecting the frontrunner, an unusually strong Democratic nominee drawing crossover support, or broader national political realignments influencing local turnout in the general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$7,519結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arkansas's strong Republican lean, driven by consistent statewide voting patterns and the party's control of key institutions, underpins the dominant Republican position in the 2026 governor race. The incumbent's established record and high name recognition further consolidate trader consensus around continued Republican success. Historical base rates in similar Southern states show limited Democratic breakthroughs without major shifts in turnout or candidate appeal. Scenarios that could alter outcomes include a significant scandal affecting the frontrunner, an unusually strong Democratic nominee drawing crossover support, or broader national political realignments influencing local turnout in the general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions