South Carolina's 5th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in forecaster ratings of Solid or Safe Republican and the Cook Partisan Voting Index near R+11. Wes Climer secured the GOP nomination without opposition in the June 2026 primary, while Mallory Dittmer advanced as the Democratic nominee, creating an open-seat contest after incumbent Ralph Norman pursued a gubernatorial bid. These structural factors, combined with the district's history of conservative voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure, support trader consensus around 91% for the Republican Party. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually favorable national environment for Democrats, unexpected turnout changes, or late developments involving the nominees ahead of the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$10,804 交易量
$10,804 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
92%
民主黨
8%
$10,804 交易量
$10,804 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
$4,218 交易量
92%
民主黨
$6,586 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 5th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in forecaster ratings of Solid or Safe Republican and the Cook Partisan Voting Index near R+11. Wes Climer secured the GOP nomination without opposition in the June 2026 primary, while Mallory Dittmer advanced as the Democratic nominee, creating an open-seat contest after incumbent Ralph Norman pursued a gubernatorial bid. These structural factors, combined with the district's history of conservative voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure, support trader consensus around 91% for the Republican Party. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually favorable national environment for Democrats, unexpected turnout changes, or late developments involving the nominees ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$10,804結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 5th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in forecaster ratings of Solid or Safe Republican and the Cook Partisan Voting Index near R+11. Wes Climer secured the GOP nomination without opposition in the June 2026 primary, while Mallory Dittmer advanced as the Democratic nominee, creating an open-seat contest after incumbent Ralph Norman pursued a gubernatorial bid. These structural factors, combined with the district's history of conservative voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure, support trader consensus around 91% for the Republican Party. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually favorable national environment for Democrats, unexpected turnout changes, or late developments involving the nominees ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$10,804結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETSouth Carolina's 5th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in forecaster ratings of Solid or Safe Republican and the Cook Partisan Voting Index near R+11. Wes Climer secured the GOP nomination without opposition in the June 2026 primary, while Mallory Dittmer advanced as the Democratic nominee, creating an open-seat contest after incumbent Ralph Norman pursued a gubernatorial bid. These structural factors, combined with the district's history of conservative voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure, support trader consensus around 91% for the Republican Party. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually favorable national environment for Democrats, unexpected turnout changes, or late developments involving the nominees ahead of the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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