Incumbent Democratic Representative Jim Clyburn secured his party's nomination in the June 9, 2026 primary with more than 90 percent of the vote against a single challenger. The district encompasses majority-Black areas in the Black Belt along with urban centers such as Columbia and North Charleston, producing consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles. A Republican-led effort to redraw congressional lines and reduce the seat's Democratic advantage ended without changes. Clyburn faces Republican nominee John Peterson in the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflects the district's structural Democratic lean, Clyburn's long incumbency, and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure. A realistic shift in odds would require an unforeseen development such as Clyburn's withdrawal due to health or a major scandal, neither of which has surfaced.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$27,420 交易量
$27,420 交易量
民主黨
94%
共和黨
6%
$27,420 交易量
$27,420 交易量
民主黨
94%
共和黨
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Jim Clyburn secured his party's nomination in the June 9, 2026 primary with more than 90 percent of the vote against a single challenger. The district encompasses majority-Black areas in the Black Belt along with urban centers such as Columbia and North Charleston, producing consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles. A Republican-led effort to redraw congressional lines and reduce the seat's Democratic advantage ended without changes. Clyburn faces Republican nominee John Peterson in the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflects the district's structural Democratic lean, Clyburn's long incumbency, and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure. A realistic shift in odds would require an unforeseen development such as Clyburn's withdrawal due to health or a major scandal, neither of which has surfaced.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions