John Mannion holds a commanding lead in the NY-22 House race, reflecting the district's Solid Democratic rating from the Cook Political Report and similar assessments from other forecasters. As the incumbent seeking reelection on November 3, 2026, Mannion benefits from substantial fundraising dominance, with over $2.9 million raised compared to Kailee Buller's roughly $267,000 through June 2026, along with far higher cash on hand. Both candidates advanced unopposed through June primaries in the Central New York district covering areas like Syracuse and Utica. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical patterns for seats rated safe or solid for one party. Late developments such as major national political shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals could still alter the outcome before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$22,266 交易量
$22,266 交易量
2026-11-03
約翰·曼尼昂（民主黨）
93%
Kailee Buller（共和黨）
6%
$22,266 交易量
$22,266 交易量
2026-11-03
約翰·曼尼昂（民主黨）
$10,907 交易量
93%
Kailee Buller（共和黨）
$11,358 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).John Mannion holds a commanding lead in the NY-22 House race, reflecting the district's Solid Democratic rating from the Cook Political Report and similar assessments from other forecasters. As the incumbent seeking reelection on November 3, 2026, Mannion benefits from substantial fundraising dominance, with over $2.9 million raised compared to Kailee Buller's roughly $267,000 through June 2026, along with far higher cash on hand. Both candidates advanced unopposed through June primaries in the Central New York district covering areas like Syracuse and Utica. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical patterns for seats rated safe or solid for one party. Late developments such as major national political shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals could still alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
交易量
$22,266結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).John Mannion holds a commanding lead in the NY-22 House race, reflecting the district's Solid Democratic rating from the Cook Political Report and similar assessments from other forecasters. As the incumbent seeking reelection on November 3, 2026, Mannion benefits from substantial fundraising dominance, with over $2.9 million raised compared to Kailee Buller's roughly $267,000 through June 2026, along with far higher cash on hand. Both candidates advanced unopposed through June primaries in the Central New York district covering areas like Syracuse and Utica. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical patterns for seats rated safe or solid for one party. Late developments such as major national political shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals could still alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$22,266結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETJohn Mannion holds a commanding lead in the NY-22 House race, reflecting the district's Solid Democratic rating from the Cook Political Report and similar assessments from other forecasters. As the incumbent seeking reelection on November 3, 2026, Mannion benefits from substantial fundraising dominance, with over $2.9 million raised compared to Kailee Buller's roughly $267,000 through June 2026, along with far higher cash on hand. Both candidates advanced unopposed through June primaries in the Central New York district covering areas like Syracuse and Utica. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical patterns for seats rated safe or solid for one party. Late developments such as major national political shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals could still alter the outcome before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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