Incumbent Ritchie Torres secured a commanding 72% in the June 2026 Democratic primary for New York’s 15th Congressional District, defeating challengers Michael Blake and Jose Vega in the Bronx-based seat. This outcome, combined with the district’s long-standing Democratic lean and Cook Political Report “Solid Democratic” rating, underpins trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Torres has held the seat since 2021 and won reelection in 2024 by a wide margin. The Republican nominee, Stylo Sapaskis, and minor-party candidates including Andre Easton face structural barriers in a constituency with limited crossover voting history. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could still shift probabilities before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$47,081 交易量
$47,081 交易量
2026-11-02
瑞奇·托雷斯（民主黨）
98%
Stylo Sapaskis（共和黨）
<1%
$47,081 交易量
$47,081 交易量
2026-11-02
瑞奇·托雷斯（民主黨）
$27,077 交易量
98%
Stylo Sapaskis（共和黨）
$20,004 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ritchie Torres secured a commanding 72% in the June 2026 Democratic primary for New York’s 15th Congressional District, defeating challengers Michael Blake and Jose Vega in the Bronx-based seat. This outcome, combined with the district’s long-standing Democratic lean and Cook Political Report “Solid Democratic” rating, underpins trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Torres has held the seat since 2021 and won reelection in 2024 by a wide margin. The Republican nominee, Stylo Sapaskis, and minor-party candidates including Andre Easton face structural barriers in a constituency with limited crossover voting history. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could still shift probabilities before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$47,081結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ritchie Torres secured a commanding 72% in the June 2026 Democratic primary for New York’s 15th Congressional District, defeating challengers Michael Blake and Jose Vega in the Bronx-based seat. This outcome, combined with the district’s long-standing Democratic lean and Cook Political Report “Solid Democratic” rating, underpins trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Torres has held the seat since 2021 and won reelection in 2024 by a wide margin. The Republican nominee, Stylo Sapaskis, and minor-party candidates including Andre Easton face structural barriers in a constituency with limited crossover voting history. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could still shift probabilities before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$47,081結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETIncumbent Ritchie Torres secured a commanding 72% in the June 2026 Democratic primary for New York’s 15th Congressional District, defeating challengers Michael Blake and Jose Vega in the Bronx-based seat. This outcome, combined with the district’s long-standing Democratic lean and Cook Political Report “Solid Democratic” rating, underpins trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Torres has held the seat since 2021 and won reelection in 2024 by a wide margin. The Republican nominee, Stylo Sapaskis, and minor-party candidates including Andre Easton face structural barriers in a constituency with limited crossover voting history. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could still shift probabilities before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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