Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding lead in the NY-16 House race, backed by the district's strong Democratic lean in southern Westchester County and the Bronx, where he won 71.5% in 2024. Both major-party primaries were uncontested, allowing Latimer to conserve resources while Republican Joseph Cinquemani, an attorney, advances without primary opposition. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical voting patterns and limited fundraising parity. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or a dramatic national political realignment before November 3, 2026, none of which appear imminent based on current developments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$41,513 交易量
$41,513 交易量
2026-11-02
喬治·拉提默（民主黨）
96%
喬瑟夫·辛奎馬尼（共和黨）
1%
$41,513 交易量
$41,513 交易量
2026-11-02
喬治·拉提默（民主黨）
$30,937 交易量
96%
喬瑟夫·辛奎馬尼（共和黨）
$10,577 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding lead in the NY-16 House race, backed by the district's strong Democratic lean in southern Westchester County and the Bronx, where he won 71.5% in 2024. Both major-party primaries were uncontested, allowing Latimer to conserve resources while Republican Joseph Cinquemani, an attorney, advances without primary opposition. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical voting patterns and limited fundraising parity. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or a dramatic national political realignment before November 3, 2026, none of which appear imminent based on current developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$41,513結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding lead in the NY-16 House race, backed by the district's strong Democratic lean in southern Westchester County and the Bronx, where he won 71.5% in 2024. Both major-party primaries were uncontested, allowing Latimer to conserve resources while Republican Joseph Cinquemani, an attorney, advances without primary opposition. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical voting patterns and limited fundraising parity. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or a dramatic national political realignment before November 3, 2026, none of which appear imminent based on current developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$41,513結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETIncumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding lead in the NY-16 House race, backed by the district's strong Democratic lean in southern Westchester County and the Bronx, where he won 71.5% in 2024. Both major-party primaries were uncontested, allowing Latimer to conserve resources while Republican Joseph Cinquemani, an attorney, advances without primary opposition. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical voting patterns and limited fundraising parity. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or a dramatic national political realignment before November 3, 2026, none of which appear imminent based on current developments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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