Hakeem Jeffries maintains a commanding position in the NY-08 House race due to the district's consistent Democratic dominance in southern and eastern Brooklyn, his long incumbency since 2013, and status as House Minority Leader. The seat delivered him 75 percent of the vote in 2024, and he faced no primary opposition in 2026 while Republican nominee Lewis Mizrahi advanced unopposed with negligible fundraising. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, including strong partisan voting history and limited GOP infrastructure. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, serious health issue, or national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's entrenched Democratic margins before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$32,637 交易量
$32,637 交易量
2026-11-02
哈基姆·傑佛瑞斯（民主黨）
96%
Lewis Mizrahi（共和黨）
4%
$32,637 交易量
$32,637 交易量
2026-11-02
哈基姆·傑佛瑞斯（民主黨）
$14,128 交易量
96%
Lewis Mizrahi（共和黨）
$18,510 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hakeem Jeffries maintains a commanding position in the NY-08 House race due to the district's consistent Democratic dominance in southern and eastern Brooklyn, his long incumbency since 2013, and status as House Minority Leader. The seat delivered him 75 percent of the vote in 2024, and he faced no primary opposition in 2026 while Republican nominee Lewis Mizrahi advanced unopposed with negligible fundraising. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, including strong partisan voting history and limited GOP infrastructure. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, serious health issue, or national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's entrenched Democratic margins before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
交易量
$32,637結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hakeem Jeffries maintains a commanding position in the NY-08 House race due to the district's consistent Democratic dominance in southern and eastern Brooklyn, his long incumbency since 2013, and status as House Minority Leader. The seat delivered him 75 percent of the vote in 2024, and he faced no primary opposition in 2026 while Republican nominee Lewis Mizrahi advanced unopposed with negligible fundraising. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, including strong partisan voting history and limited GOP infrastructure. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, serious health issue, or national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's entrenched Democratic margins before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$32,637結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETHakeem Jeffries maintains a commanding position in the NY-08 House race due to the district's consistent Democratic dominance in southern and eastern Brooklyn, his long incumbency since 2013, and status as House Minority Leader. The seat delivered him 75 percent of the vote in 2024, and he faced no primary opposition in 2026 while Republican nominee Lewis Mizrahi advanced unopposed with negligible fundraising. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, including strong partisan voting history and limited GOP infrastructure. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, serious health issue, or national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's entrenched Democratic margins before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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