The Texas 8th congressional district’s R+13 partisan voter index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including strong support for Donald Trump in 2024, anchor trader consensus around a GOP hold in the open-seat 2026 race. Morgan Luttrell’s retirement opened the contest, yet Republican nominee Jessica Steinmann secured the nomination decisively in the March primary, while Democrat Laura Jones faces an uphill path in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Limited Democratic infrastructure, favorable historical turnout patterns among Republican-leaning voters, and the absence of major scandals or national shifts have kept implied probabilities elevated. A late national wave, significant candidate-specific issues, or unexpected primary fallout could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such reversals unlikely before November.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$18,992 交易量
$18,992 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
94%
民主黨
6%
$18,992 交易量
$18,992 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
$8,298 交易量
94%
民主黨
$10,694 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 8th congressional district’s R+13 partisan voter index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including strong support for Donald Trump in 2024, anchor trader consensus around a GOP hold in the open-seat 2026 race. Morgan Luttrell’s retirement opened the contest, yet Republican nominee Jessica Steinmann secured the nomination decisively in the March primary, while Democrat Laura Jones faces an uphill path in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Limited Democratic infrastructure, favorable historical turnout patterns among Republican-leaning voters, and the absence of major scandals or national shifts have kept implied probabilities elevated. A late national wave, significant candidate-specific issues, or unexpected primary fallout could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such reversals unlikely before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$18,992結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 8th congressional district’s R+13 partisan voter index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including strong support for Donald Trump in 2024, anchor trader consensus around a GOP hold in the open-seat 2026 race. Morgan Luttrell’s retirement opened the contest, yet Republican nominee Jessica Steinmann secured the nomination decisively in the March primary, while Democrat Laura Jones faces an uphill path in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Limited Democratic infrastructure, favorable historical turnout patterns among Republican-leaning voters, and the absence of major scandals or national shifts have kept implied probabilities elevated. A late national wave, significant candidate-specific issues, or unexpected primary fallout could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such reversals unlikely before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$18,992結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Texas 8th congressional district’s R+13 partisan voter index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including strong support for Donald Trump in 2024, anchor trader consensus around a GOP hold in the open-seat 2026 race. Morgan Luttrell’s retirement opened the contest, yet Republican nominee Jessica Steinmann secured the nomination decisively in the March primary, while Democrat Laura Jones faces an uphill path in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Limited Democratic infrastructure, favorable historical turnout patterns among Republican-leaning voters, and the absence of major scandals or national shifts have kept implied probabilities elevated. A late national wave, significant candidate-specific issues, or unexpected primary fallout could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such reversals unlikely before November.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
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