Incumbent Democrat LaMonica McIver's commanding position in the NJ-10 race stems from the district's entrenched Democratic tilt, rated D+27 by the Cook Partisan Voter Index and centered on Newark with consistent large margins for Democratic candidates. McIver secured her party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with 84.8 percent of the vote against a single challenger, while Republican Carmen Bucco advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan forecasters classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Democrats reflects these structural factors and historical voting patterns in the urban core. A major scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory, though such developments remain uncommon in this environment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$46,843 交易量
$46,843 交易量
2026-11-02
LaMonica McIver（民主黨）
95%
卡門·布科（共和黨）
5%
$46,843 交易量
$46,843 交易量
2026-11-02
LaMonica McIver（民主黨）
$14,025 交易量
95%
卡門·布科（共和黨）
$32,818 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat LaMonica McIver's commanding position in the NJ-10 race stems from the district's entrenched Democratic tilt, rated D+27 by the Cook Partisan Voter Index and centered on Newark with consistent large margins for Democratic candidates. McIver secured her party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with 84.8 percent of the vote against a single challenger, while Republican Carmen Bucco advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan forecasters classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Democrats reflects these structural factors and historical voting patterns in the urban core. A major scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory, though such developments remain uncommon in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$46,843結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat LaMonica McIver's commanding position in the NJ-10 race stems from the district's entrenched Democratic tilt, rated D+27 by the Cook Partisan Voter Index and centered on Newark with consistent large margins for Democratic candidates. McIver secured her party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with 84.8 percent of the vote against a single challenger, while Republican Carmen Bucco advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan forecasters classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Democrats reflects these structural factors and historical voting patterns in the urban core. A major scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory, though such developments remain uncommon in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$46,843結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETIncumbent Democrat LaMonica McIver's commanding position in the NJ-10 race stems from the district's entrenched Democratic tilt, rated D+27 by the Cook Partisan Voter Index and centered on Newark with consistent large margins for Democratic candidates. McIver secured her party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with 84.8 percent of the vote against a single challenger, while Republican Carmen Bucco advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan forecasters classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Democrats reflects these structural factors and historical voting patterns in the urban core. A major scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory, though such developments remain uncommon in this environment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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