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icon for 比爾蓋茲在6月30日之前收費?

比爾蓋茲在6月30日之前收費?

icon for 比爾蓋茲在6月30日之前收費?

比爾蓋茲在6月30日之前收費?

<1% 機率
Polymarket

$20,595 交易量

<1% 機率
Polymarket

$20,595 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Bill Gates between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus at 99.4% on "No" for Bill Gates being charged by June 30, 2026, stems from the complete absence of any active criminal investigation, grand jury activity, or prosecutorial announcements targeting the Microsoft co-founder and philanthropist in credible reporting. Recent developments, including his voluntary June 2026 closed-door testimony before a House Oversight Committee on past Jeffrey Epstein contacts, position him strictly as a witness rather than a subject of charges, with no allegations of personal wrongdoing advanced by authorities. Legal charging processes for high-profile private citizens require extended investigative timelines incompatible with the remaining 12-day window. While an unanticipated last-minute indictment cannot be entirely ruled out in principle, structural barriers such as evidentiary thresholds, procedural requirements, and institutional norms make such an outcome highly improbable.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Bill Gates between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$20,595
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Feb 25, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Bill Gates between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Bill Gates between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus at 99.4% on "No" for Bill Gates being charged by June 30, 2026, stems from the complete absence of any active criminal investigation, grand jury activity, or prosecutorial announcements targeting the Microsoft co-founder and philanthropist in credible reporting. Recent developments, including his voluntary June 2026 closed-door testimony before a House Oversight Committee on past Jeffrey Epstein contacts, position him strictly as a witness rather than a subject of charges, with no allegations of personal wrongdoing advanced by authorities. Legal charging processes for high-profile private citizens require extended investigative timelines incompatible with the remaining 12-day window. While an unanticipated last-minute indictment cannot be entirely ruled out in principle, structural barriers such as evidentiary thresholds, procedural requirements, and institutional norms make such an outcome highly improbable.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Bill Gates between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$20,595
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Feb 25, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Bill Gates between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"比爾蓋茲在6月30日之前收費?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "比爾·蓋茲在6月30日前被起訴?" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "比爾蓋茲在6月30日之前收費?" has generated $20.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "比爾蓋茲在6月30日之前收費?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "比爾蓋茲在6月30日之前收費?" is "比爾·蓋茲在6月30日前被起訴?" at just 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "比爾蓋茲在6月30日之前收費?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.