Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson leads the June 2, 2026, California primary for the 4th Congressional District with roughly 39 percent of the vote, followed by Republican Ray Riehle at about 23 percent and fellow Democrat Eric Jones near 21 percent, with most ballots counted. Under the state's top-two primary system, these results position Thompson and Riehle to advance to the November general election regardless of party. The solidly Democratic district, rated as such by nonpartisan analysts ahead of the contest, features limited Republican primary competition and no major late developments altering the frontrunner dynamics. Final certification is expected by mid-July, after which attention shifts to the general election matchup.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$44,455 交易量
2026-06-02
Mike Thompson
100%
Eric Jones
82%
Sharon Brown
4%
約翰·衛斯理·泰勒
1%
Laurie MacKenzie
1%
Mandy Ghusar
1%
特雷弗·梅雷爾
<1%
希斯·富克森
<1%
$44,455 交易量
Mike Thompson
$7,712 交易量
100%
Eric Jones
$13,400 交易量
82%
Sharon Brown
$4,679 交易量
4%
約翰·衛斯理·泰勒
$1,903 交易量
1%
Laurie MacKenzie
$868 交易量
1%
Mandy Ghusar
$3,238 交易量
1%
特雷弗·梅雷爾
$10,866 交易量
<1%
希斯·富克森
$1,790 交易量
<1%
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson leads the June 2, 2026, California primary for the 4th Congressional District with roughly 39 percent of the vote, followed by Republican Ray Riehle at about 23 percent and fellow Democrat Eric Jones near 21 percent, with most ballots counted. Under the state's top-two primary system, these results position Thompson and Riehle to advance to the November general election regardless of party. The solidly Democratic district, rated as such by nonpartisan analysts ahead of the contest, features limited Republican primary competition and no major late developments altering the frontrunner dynamics. Final certification is expected by mid-July, after which attention shifts to the general election matchup.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市場開放時間： Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
交易量
$44,455結束日期
2026-06-02市場開放時間
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson leads the June 2, 2026, California primary for the 4th Congressional District with roughly 39 percent of the vote, followed by Republican Ray Riehle at about 23 percent and fellow Democrat Eric Jones near 21 percent, with most ballots counted. Under the state's top-two primary system, these results position Thompson and Riehle to advance to the November general election regardless of party. The solidly Democratic district, rated as such by nonpartisan analysts ahead of the contest, features limited Republican primary competition and no major late developments altering the frontrunner dynamics. Final certification is expected by mid-July, after which attention shifts to the general election matchup.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$44,455結束日期
2026-06-02市場開放時間
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson leads the June 2, 2026, California primary for the 4th Congressional District with roughly 39 percent of the vote, followed by Republican Ray Riehle at about 23 percent and fellow Democrat Eric Jones near 21 percent, with most ballots counted. Under the state's top-two primary system, these results position Thompson and Riehle to advance to the November general election regardless of party. The solidly Democratic district, rated as such by nonpartisan analysts ahead of the contest, features limited Republican primary competition and no major late developments altering the frontrunner dynamics. Final certification is expected by mid-July, after which attention shifts to the general election matchup.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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