California's 4th Congressional District held its top-two primary on June 2, 2026, following redistricting under Proposition 50 that expanded the district to include all or parts of Napa, Sonoma, Sacramento, Sutter, Yolo, Yuba, Lake, Colusa, and Placer counties. Incumbent Democratic Representative Mike Thompson, first elected in 1998 and ranking member of the House Ways and Means tax policy subcommittee, faces a primary challenge from Democrat Eric Jones, a venture capitalist and nonprofit executive, alongside multiple Republican candidates including Ray Riehle, a small business owner. The nonpartisan primary determines the two nominees advancing to the November general election in a district rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters, with outcomes shaped by local voter turnout, candidate fundraising, and positioning on agriculture, tariffs, affordability, and healthcare access.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$43,659 交易量
Mike Thompson
100%
Eric Jones
73%
Sharon Brown
2%
約翰·衛斯理·泰勒
1%
Laurie MacKenzie
1%
Mandy Ghusar
1%
特雷弗·梅雷爾
<1%
希斯·富克森
<1%
$43,659 交易量
Mike Thompson
100%
Eric Jones
73%
Sharon Brown
2%
約翰·衛斯理·泰勒
1%
Laurie MacKenzie
1%
Mandy Ghusar
1%
特雷弗·梅雷爾
<1%
希斯·富克森
<1%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市場開放時間: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...California's 4th Congressional District held its top-two primary on June 2, 2026, following redistricting under Proposition 50 that expanded the district to include all or parts of Napa, Sonoma, Sacramento, Sutter, Yolo, Yuba, Lake, Colusa, and Placer counties. Incumbent Democratic Representative Mike Thompson, first elected in 1998 and ranking member of the House Ways and Means tax policy subcommittee, faces a primary challenge from Democrat Eric Jones, a venture capitalist and nonprofit executive, alongside multiple Republican candidates including Ray Riehle, a small business owner. The nonpartisan primary determines the two nominees advancing to the November general election in a district rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters, with outcomes shaped by local voter turnout, candidate fundraising, and positioning on agriculture, tariffs, affordability, and healthcare access.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions