Incumbent Democratic Representative Mike Thompson, seeking his 15th term in the safely Democratic California 4th district, heads the field in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary alongside several Republican challengers and fellow Democrat Eric Jones. California's jungle primary system advances the two highest vote-getters regardless of party to the November general election. Recent candidate filings and local reporting highlight Thompson's long incumbency and name recognition as central factors, while the field of lesser-known opponents faces structural barriers in a district with consistent Democratic registration advantages. No major late developments have altered the established lineup ahead of certification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$43,601 交易量
2026-06-02
Mike Thompson
100%
Eric Jones
73%
Laurie MacKenzie
5%
Sharon Brown
2%
約翰·衛斯理·泰勒
1%
Mandy Ghusar
1%
特雷弗·梅雷爾
<1%
希斯·富克森
<1%
$43,601 交易量
Mike Thompson
$7,711 交易量
100%
Eric Jones
$12,861 交易量
73%
Laurie MacKenzie
$853 交易量
5%
Sharon Brown
$4,452 交易量
2%
約翰·衛斯理·泰勒
$1,903 交易量
1%
Mandy Ghusar
$3,238 交易量
1%
特雷弗·梅雷爾
$10,866 交易量
<1%
希斯·富克森
$1,718 交易量
<1%
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democratic Representative Mike Thompson, seeking his 15th term in the safely Democratic California 4th district, heads the field in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary alongside several Republican challengers and fellow Democrat Eric Jones. California's jungle primary system advances the two highest vote-getters regardless of party to the November general election. Recent candidate filings and local reporting highlight Thompson's long incumbency and name recognition as central factors, while the field of lesser-known opponents faces structural barriers in a district with consistent Democratic registration advantages. No major late developments have altered the established lineup ahead of certification.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市場開放時間： Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
交易量
$43,601結束日期
2026-06-02市場開放時間
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democratic Representative Mike Thompson, seeking his 15th term in the safely Democratic California 4th district, heads the field in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary alongside several Republican challengers and fellow Democrat Eric Jones. California's jungle primary system advances the two highest vote-getters regardless of party to the November general election. Recent candidate filings and local reporting highlight Thompson's long incumbency and name recognition as central factors, while the field of lesser-known opponents faces structural barriers in a district with consistent Democratic registration advantages. No major late developments have altered the established lineup ahead of certification.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$43,601結束日期
2026-06-02市場開放時間
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Democratic Representative Mike Thompson, seeking his 15th term in the safely Democratic California 4th district, heads the field in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary alongside several Republican challengers and fellow Democrat Eric Jones. California's jungle primary system advances the two highest vote-getters regardless of party to the November general election. Recent candidate filings and local reporting highlight Thompson's long incumbency and name recognition as central factors, while the field of lesser-known opponents faces structural barriers in a district with consistent Democratic registration advantages. No major late developments have altered the established lineup ahead of certification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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