Costco's iconic $1.50 hot dog and soda combo anchors strong trader consensus against any price hike before 2027, driven by CEO Ron Vachris's repeated 2026 public vows that the price "will not change as long as I'm around," directly echoing founder Jim Sinegal's legendary "figure it out" mandate. Recent April updates allowing a water swap instead of soda kept the sticker price frozen, reinforcing the combo's role as a loss-leader cultural staple that drives foot traffic amid inflation pressures. Decades of precedent, internal cost controls, and the executive team's skin-in-the-game commitment fuel the 91.5% implied probability for "No." A sudden leadership shift or extreme supply-chain shock could still test resolve, though current signals show no wavering.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
9% 機率
$10,309 交易量
$10,309 交易量
2026-12-30
是
9% 機率
$10,309 交易量
$10,309 交易量
2026-12-30
Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs. As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Costco's iconic $1.50 hot dog and soda combo anchors strong trader consensus against any price hike before 2027, driven by CEO Ron Vachris's repeated 2026 public vows that the price "will not change as long as I'm around," directly echoing founder Jim Sinegal's legendary "figure it out" mandate. Recent April updates allowing a water swap instead of soda kept the sticker price frozen, reinforcing the combo's role as a loss-leader cultural staple that drives foot traffic amid inflation pressures. Decades of precedent, internal cost controls, and the executive team's skin-in-the-game commitment fuel the 91.5% implied probability for "No." A sudden leadership shift or extreme supply-chain shock could still test resolve, though current signals show no wavering.
Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs. As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： Dec 2, 2025, 6:24 PM ET
交易量
$10,309結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Dec 2, 2025, 6:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs. As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Costco's iconic $1.50 hot dog and soda combo anchors strong trader consensus against any price hike before 2027, driven by CEO Ron Vachris's repeated 2026 public vows that the price "will not change as long as I'm around," directly echoing founder Jim Sinegal's legendary "figure it out" mandate. Recent April updates allowing a water swap instead of soda kept the sticker price frozen, reinforcing the combo's role as a loss-leader cultural staple that drives foot traffic amid inflation pressures. Decades of precedent, internal cost controls, and the executive team's skin-in-the-game commitment fuel the 91.5% implied probability for "No." A sudden leadership shift or extreme supply-chain shock could still test resolve, though current signals show no wavering.
Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs. As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$10,309結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Dec 2, 2025, 6:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Costco's iconic $1.50 hot dog and soda combo anchors strong trader consensus against any price hike before 2027, driven by CEO Ron Vachris's repeated 2026 public vows that the price "will not change as long as I'm around," directly echoing founder Jim Sinegal's legendary "figure it out" mandate. Recent April updates allowing a water swap instead of soda kept the sticker price frozen, reinforcing the combo's role as a loss-leader cultural staple that drives foot traffic amid inflation pressures. Decades of precedent, internal cost controls, and the executive team's skin-in-the-game commitment fuel the 91.5% implied probability for "No." A sudden leadership shift or extreme supply-chain shock could still test resolve, though current signals show no wavering.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions