Recent monthly inflation readings, including a 1.9% June 2026 increase that eased from 2.1% in May and produced a 33.5% year-over-year rate, anchor trader positioning for Argentina's full-year 2026 CPI near the 30% threshold. Sustained fiscal consolidation, tighter monetary policy, and peso stabilization under current reforms continue to moderate price pressures, aligning with IMF and OECD projections of roughly 30-31% for the annual average. However, residual inertia from prior relative-price adjustments and upcoming July data due August 13 keep the 25-29.9% and 30.0-34.9% bands nearly evenly matched at 47.5% and 50.1% implied probability, reflecting uncertainty over whether disinflation will accelerate enough to breach lower ranges or stall near current levels.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於30.0-34.9% 50.2%
25-29.9% 48%
45%以上 2.1%
低於20% <1%
$37,142 交易量
$37,142 交易量
低於20%
1%
20-24.9%
1%
25-29.9%
48%
30.0-34.9%
50%
35–39.9%
<1%
40-44.9%
1%
45%以上
2%
30.0-34.9% 50.2%
25-29.9% 48%
45%以上 2.1%
低於20% <1%
$37,142 交易量
$37,142 交易量
低於20%
1%
20-24.9%
1%
25-29.9%
48%
30.0-34.9%
50%
35–39.9%
<1%
40-44.9%
1%
45%以上
2%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市場開放時間: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent monthly inflation readings, including a 1.9% June 2026 increase that eased from 2.1% in May and produced a 33.5% year-over-year rate, anchor trader positioning for Argentina's full-year 2026 CPI near the 30% threshold. Sustained fiscal consolidation, tighter monetary policy, and peso stabilization under current reforms continue to moderate price pressures, aligning with IMF and OECD projections of roughly 30-31% for the annual average. However, residual inertia from prior relative-price adjustments and upcoming July data due August 13 keep the 25-29.9% and 30.0-34.9% bands nearly evenly matched at 47.5% and 50.1% implied probability, reflecting uncertainty over whether disinflation will accelerate enough to breach lower ranges or stall near current levels.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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