Argentina's 2026 annual inflation market reflects closely matched trader sentiment between the 30.0-34.9% bracket at 49% and the 25-29.9% outcome at 45.5%, driven by the ongoing disinflation path under fiscal balance and exchange-rate stability. Year-over-year CPI eased to 33.5% in June 2026 from prior peaks, with monthly prints decelerating to 1.9%, yet base effects and inertia have kept the trajectory near 30%. Consensus forecasts from the IMF, BBVA Research, and central bank surveys cluster around 29-31% for year-end, underscoring uncertainty over whether further monthly moderation will push the full-year rate below 30% or sustain it in the low-30s amid policy continuity and potential relative-price adjustments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於30.0-34.9% 49.0%
25-29.9% 45%
低於20% 1.8%
45%以上 1.4%
$39,808 交易量
$39,808 交易量
低於20%
2%
20-24.9%
1%
25-29.9%
45%
30.0-34.9%
49%
35–39.9%
<1%
40-44.9%
1%
45%以上
1%
30.0-34.9% 49.0%
25-29.9% 45%
低於20% 1.8%
45%以上 1.4%
$39,808 交易量
$39,808 交易量
低於20%
2%
20-24.9%
1%
25-29.9%
45%
30.0-34.9%
49%
35–39.9%
<1%
40-44.9%
1%
45%以上
1%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市場開放時間: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Argentina's 2026 annual inflation market reflects closely matched trader sentiment between the 30.0-34.9% bracket at 49% and the 25-29.9% outcome at 45.5%, driven by the ongoing disinflation path under fiscal balance and exchange-rate stability. Year-over-year CPI eased to 33.5% in June 2026 from prior peaks, with monthly prints decelerating to 1.9%, yet base effects and inertia have kept the trajectory near 30%. Consensus forecasts from the IMF, BBVA Research, and central bank surveys cluster around 29-31% for year-end, underscoring uncertainty over whether further monthly moderation will push the full-year rate below 30% or sustain it in the low-30s amid policy continuity and potential relative-price adjustments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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