Recent monthly CPI prints showing continued disinflation, with June 2026 year-over-year inflation at 33.5% and m/m rises easing to 1.9%, underpin the tight contest between the 30.0-34.9% (49%) and 25-29.9% (45.5%) outcomes for Argentina’s full-year 2026 annual rate. President Milei’s fiscal austerity and peso stabilization have driven the downward trajectory from earlier peaks, aligning with central bank survey medians near 30.5% and external forecasts around 29-30.4%. Remaining uncertainty stems from potential regulated price adjustments, oil price volatility, and the pace of further moderation through year-end, making upcoming INDEC releases key swing factors for trader positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於30.0-34.9% 49.0%
25-29.9% 45%
低於20% 1.9%
45%以上 1.4%
$39,803 交易量
$39,803 交易量
低於20%
2%
20-24.9%
1%
25-29.9%
45%
30.0-34.9%
49%
35–39.9%
<1%
40-44.9%
1%
45%以上
1%
30.0-34.9% 49.0%
25-29.9% 45%
低於20% 1.9%
45%以上 1.4%
$39,803 交易量
$39,803 交易量
低於20%
2%
20-24.9%
1%
25-29.9%
45%
30.0-34.9%
49%
35–39.9%
<1%
40-44.9%
1%
45%以上
1%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市場開放時間: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent monthly CPI prints showing continued disinflation, with June 2026 year-over-year inflation at 33.5% and m/m rises easing to 1.9%, underpin the tight contest between the 30.0-34.9% (49%) and 25-29.9% (45.5%) outcomes for Argentina’s full-year 2026 annual rate. President Milei’s fiscal austerity and peso stabilization have driven the downward trajectory from earlier peaks, aligning with central bank survey medians near 30.5% and external forecasts around 29-30.4%. Remaining uncertainty stems from potential regulated price adjustments, oil price volatility, and the pace of further moderation through year-end, making upcoming INDEC releases key swing factors for trader positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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警惕外部連結哦。
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