Recent July core CPI data printed at 2.5% YoY, down from 2.6% the prior month with a 0.2% MoM rise, reflecting cooling in goods and select services amid easing energy pass-through. This release, combined with the Cleveland Fed’s 2.38% nowcast and TD Securities’ 0.24% MoM August projection, anchors trader expectations near 2.3–2.4% as shelter and supercore components show modest deceleration while base effects from last year’s peaks fade. Fed funds rate at 3.5–3.75% and divided FOMC signals keep focus on whether the August print sustains the disinflation path or reveals persistent services pressure that could alter rate-cut odds. With probabilities tightly clustered between 2.3% and 2.4%, small deviations in shelter or core goods will likely determine resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2.4% 41%
2.3% 34%
2.5% 21%
2.7% 4.1%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
≤2.0%
1%
2.1%
1%
2.2%
3%
2.3%
34%
2.4%
41%
2.5%
21%
2.6%
3%
2.7%
4%
2.8%
3%
≥2.9%
1%
2.4% 41%
2.3% 34%
2.5% 21%
2.7% 4.1%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
≤2.0%
$335 交易量
1%
2.1%
$313 交易量
1%
2.2%
$375 交易量
3%
2.3%
$373 交易量
34%
2.4%
$3,278 交易量
41%
2.5%
$231 交易量
21%
2.6%
$878 交易量
3%
2.7%
$753 交易量
4%
2.8%
$883 交易量
3%
≥2.9%
$421 交易量
1%
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July core CPI data printed at 2.5% YoY, down from 2.6% the prior month with a 0.2% MoM rise, reflecting cooling in goods and select services amid easing energy pass-through. This release, combined with the Cleveland Fed’s 2.38% nowcast and TD Securities’ 0.24% MoM August projection, anchors trader expectations near 2.3–2.4% as shelter and supercore components show modest deceleration while base effects from last year’s peaks fade. Fed funds rate at 3.5–3.75% and divided FOMC signals keep focus on whether the August print sustains the disinflation path or reveals persistent services pressure that could alter rate-cut odds. With probabilities tightly clustered between 2.3% and 2.4%, small deviations in shelter or core goods will likely determine resolution.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市場開放時間： Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ET
交易量
$7,841結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July core CPI data printed at 2.5% YoY, down from 2.6% the prior month with a 0.2% MoM rise, reflecting cooling in goods and select services amid easing energy pass-through. This release, combined with the Cleveland Fed’s 2.38% nowcast and TD Securities’ 0.24% MoM August projection, anchors trader expectations near 2.3–2.4% as shelter and supercore components show modest deceleration while base effects from last year’s peaks fade. Fed funds rate at 3.5–3.75% and divided FOMC signals keep focus on whether the August print sustains the disinflation path or reveals persistent services pressure that could alter rate-cut odds. With probabilities tightly clustered between 2.3% and 2.4%, small deviations in shelter or core goods will likely determine resolution.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
交易量
$7,841結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July core CPI data printed at 2.5% YoY, down from 2.6% the prior month with a 0.2% MoM rise, reflecting cooling in goods and select services amid easing energy pass-through. This release, combined with the Cleveland Fed’s 2.38% nowcast and TD Securities’ 0.24% MoM August projection, anchors trader expectations near 2.3–2.4% as shelter and supercore components show modest deceleration while base effects from last year’s peaks fade. Fed funds rate at 3.5–3.75% and divided FOMC signals keep focus on whether the August print sustains the disinflation path or reveals persistent services pressure that could alter rate-cut odds. With probabilities tightly clustered between 2.3% and 2.4%, small deviations in shelter or core goods will likely determine resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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Frequently Asked Questions