Recent July core CPI data printed exactly at the 0.2% MoM rate with a 2.5% YoY pace, matching consensus forecasts and Cleveland Fed nowcasts that continue to anchor expectations for August. Persistent shelter costs, which comprise a large weight in the index, alongside modest services price rebounds have kept monthly readings stable near this level, while softer energy, goods, and used-vehicle components limit upside risks. With the September 11 release still weeks away, trader-implied probabilities concentrate around 0.2% and 0.3% outcomes, reflecting the narrow recent range and lack of new macroeconomic shocks. Key upcoming signals include labor-market reports and retail-sales data that could shift rate-path expectations and implied probabilities ahead of the print.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於0.2% 45%
0.3% 28%
0.1% 18%
≤0.0% 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
≤0.0%
6%
0.1%
18%
0.2%
45%
0.3%
28%
0.4%
3%
0.5%
2%
0.6%+
2%
0.2% 45%
0.3% 28%
0.1% 18%
≤0.0% 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
≤0.0%
$238 交易量
6%
0.1%
$204 交易量
18%
0.2%
$1,723 交易量
45%
0.3%
$312 交易量
28%
0.4%
$194 交易量
3%
0.5%
$204 交易量
2%
0.6%+
$204 交易量
2%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in August 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July core CPI data printed exactly at the 0.2% MoM rate with a 2.5% YoY pace, matching consensus forecasts and Cleveland Fed nowcasts that continue to anchor expectations for August. Persistent shelter costs, which comprise a large weight in the index, alongside modest services price rebounds have kept monthly readings stable near this level, while softer energy, goods, and used-vehicle components limit upside risks. With the September 11 release still weeks away, trader-implied probabilities concentrate around 0.2% and 0.3% outcomes, reflecting the narrow recent range and lack of new macroeconomic shocks. Key upcoming signals include labor-market reports and retail-sales data that could shift rate-path expectations and implied probabilities ahead of the print.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in August 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市場開放時間： Aug 12, 2026, 10:16 AM ET
交易量
$3,081結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 10:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in August 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July core CPI data printed exactly at the 0.2% MoM rate with a 2.5% YoY pace, matching consensus forecasts and Cleveland Fed nowcasts that continue to anchor expectations for August. Persistent shelter costs, which comprise a large weight in the index, alongside modest services price rebounds have kept monthly readings stable near this level, while softer energy, goods, and used-vehicle components limit upside risks. With the September 11 release still weeks away, trader-implied probabilities concentrate around 0.2% and 0.3% outcomes, reflecting the narrow recent range and lack of new macroeconomic shocks. Key upcoming signals include labor-market reports and retail-sales data that could shift rate-path expectations and implied probabilities ahead of the print.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in August 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
交易量
$3,081結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 10:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July core CPI data printed exactly at the 0.2% MoM rate with a 2.5% YoY pace, matching consensus forecasts and Cleveland Fed nowcasts that continue to anchor expectations for August. Persistent shelter costs, which comprise a large weight in the index, alongside modest services price rebounds have kept monthly readings stable near this level, while softer energy, goods, and used-vehicle components limit upside risks. With the September 11 release still weeks away, trader-implied probabilities concentrate around 0.2% and 0.3% outcomes, reflecting the narrow recent range and lack of new macroeconomic shocks. Key upcoming signals include labor-market reports and retail-sales data that could shift rate-path expectations and implied probabilities ahead of the print.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions